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Brazil Copa Sergipe

AA Guarany vs Atletico Gloriense Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.37 – 1.14
Avg goals2.51
Our pickHome
AA Guarany 41% Draw 29% Atletico Gloriense 30%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 41% 2.45 2.75
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.41 1.22
Goals 2.25 Over 53% 1.89 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 52% 1.92 –
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 52% 1.92 2.00
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.16 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.75  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.20
Goals 2.25 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • AA Guarany matches average 8.00 total corners (3.85 won per game) across their last 13 with corner data.
  • AA Guarany games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
  • Atletico Gloriense win 3.27 corners per game, with match totals averaging 6.91 over their last 11.
  • Atletico Gloriense games clear the 9.5 corner line 18% of the time.
  • AA Guarany matches average 2.08 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
  • Games involving Atletico Gloriense produce 2.36 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
  • The model leans Over 2.25 goals at 53% probability.

AA Guarany — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A L Falcon 0–3 1–5
2026-02-22 A D Confianca 0–0 3–11
2026-02-15 A D Itabaiana 1–1 2–1
2026-02-12 H L Falcon 0–1 7–4
2026-02-09 H W Desportiva Aracaju 2–1 4–5
2026-02-06 A L Confianca 0–1 1–4
2026-02-01 H W Atletico Gloriense 3–2 1–3
2026-01-26 H D America SE 0–0 10–1
2026-01-22 A L Lagarto 0–2 7–6
2026-01-18 A D Sergipe 1–1 1–4

Atletico Gloriense — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H D Desportiva Aracaju 0–0 4–7
2026-02-11 A L Sergipe 1–2 3–9
2026-02-08 H W Lagarto 2–1 3–1
2026-02-04 A L Falcon 1–2 3–3
2026-02-01 A L AA Guarany 2–3 3–1
2026-01-25 H W Confianca 2–1 2–6
2026-01-22 A L America SE 0–2 4–2
2026-01-19 H D Desportiva Aracaju 1–1 8–0
2026-01-12 A L Itabaiana 0–1 0–4
2025-10-26 A L Desportiva Aracaju 1–2 2–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win AA Guarany vs Atletico Gloriense?
Our model gives AA Guarany a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Atletico Gloriense 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.