Norway Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Tromso Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.35 – 1.50
Avg goals2.84
Our pickAway
Aalesund 33%
Draw 27%
Tromso 40%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 40% | 2.52 | 1.95 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 59% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home +12% Value | 60% | 1.66 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 10.5 | Under | 53% | 1.89 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.75 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.70 · Draw 3.70 · Away 1.95 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 10.5 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.0
Aalesund
10.2
Expected corners
5.2
Tromso
Aalesund corner stats · Tromso corner stats
Corner line 10.50
Over 47%
Under 53%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.2 corners in this match, with Aalesund winning 5 of them.
- Aalesund win 6.24 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.83 over their last 41.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 76% of Aalesund matches.
- Across 37 recent matches, Tromso games produced 8.76 corners on average — 4.92 taken by Tromso themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 32% of Tromso matches.
- Games involving Aalesund produce 3.41 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 66%.
- Tromso matches average 2.54 goals, with both teams scoring in 41% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.7 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 10.3 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (52%).
Aalesund — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | D Viking FK | 1–1 | 4–10 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | L Valerenga | 1–6 | 7–8 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Molde | 2–2 | 2–7 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W Kristiansund BK | 3–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | D HamKam | 2–2 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | D Tromso | 1–1 | 9–6 |
| 2026-05-21 | H | W SK Brann | 2–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Rosenborg | 3–2 | 0–11 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Sandefjord | 0–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D Kristiansund BK | 1–1 | 10–8 |
Tromso — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | L Hradec Kralove | 1–3 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | L Hradec Kralove | 0–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W HamKam | 4–1 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W Valerenga | 4–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | D KFUM | 0–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | D Aalesund | 1–1 | 6–9 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Bodo/Glimt | 0–5 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W Molde | 2–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D IK Start | 1–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | L SK Brann | 0–5 | 6–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Aalesund vs Tromso?
- Our model gives Aalesund a 33% chance, the draw 27% and Tromso 40%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Aalesund vs Tromso?
- The corner model projects 10.2 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.