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Switzerland Challenge League

Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.85 – 1.42
Avg goals3.27
Our pickHome
Aarau 47% Draw 25% Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 29%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 47% 2.15 1.95
Double chance – Home or away 75% 1.33 1.22
Goals 3.25 Under +6% Value 54% 1.87 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 65% 1.54 1.40
Asian handicap -0.5 Away 53% 1.87 1.83
Corners 9.5 Under 65% 1.53 –
Correct score – 1-1 11% 9.09 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.95  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 3.25
Goals 3.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.3 Aarau
8.3 Expected corners
4.0 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Aarau corner stats · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 35% Under 65%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.3 corners in this match, with Aarau winning 4.3 of them.
  • Aarau matches average 8.75 total corners (5.05 won per game) across their last 44 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Aarau matches.
  • Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win 5.80 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.32 over their last 41.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of Stade Lausanne-Ouchy matches.
  • Games involving Aarau produce 3.34 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 61%.
  • Stade Lausanne-Ouchy matches average 2.95 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 4 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.6 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (54%).

Aarau — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Etoile Carouge 0–3 1–1
2026-07-18 H W Union Berlin 2–1 4–9
2026-07-10 A L Austria Lustenau 0–1 5–3
2026-06-30 H L St Gallen II 1–3 4–5
2026-05-22 A D Grasshoppers 1–1 3–8
2026-05-19 H D Grasshoppers 0–0 6–5
2026-05-16 H D Yverdon Sport FC 2–2 5–0
2026-05-12 A W FC Vaduz 2–1 5–5
2026-05-09 H W Stade Nyonnais 5–1 6–4
2026-05-02 A W Neuchatel Xamax 3–1 7–5

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Stade Nyonnais 2–0 6–4
2026-05-24 H L St Gallen 0–3 1–2
2026-05-16 H W Neuchatel Xamax 2–1 10–5
2026-05-12 A W Stade Nyonnais 3–1 7–3
2026-05-09 H W AC Bellinzona 5–0 5–3
2026-05-03 A D FC Vaduz 2–2 10–1
2026-04-26 H L Yverdon Sport FC 0–3 5–4
2026-04-23 A L Aarau 0–3 5–4
2026-04-19 H W Grasshoppers 2–0 8–7
2026-04-11 A D Etoile Carouge 1–1 3–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our model gives Aarau a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
The corner model projects 8.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 35% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.