Denmark Division 1
Aarhus Fremad vs AaB Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.75 – 1.14
Avg goals2.89
Our pickHome
Aarhus Fremad 51%
Draw 26%
AaB 24%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +16% Value | 51% | 1.98 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw +6% Value | 76% | 1.31 | 1.39 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 58% | 1.73 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.74 | 1.50 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home +14% Value | 58% | 1.72 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 10 | Over +11% Value | 58% | 1.74 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.21 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.25 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.90 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.3
Aarhus Fremad
10.6
Expected corners
4.4
AaB
Aarhus Fremad corner stats · AaB corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 58%
Under 42%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.6 corners here; Aarhus Fremad are forecast for 6.3.
- Aarhus Fremad win 6.34 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.82 over their last 38.
- Aarhus Fremad games clear the 9.5 corner line 66% of the time.
- Across 39 recent matches, AaB games produced 9.67 corners on average — 4.67 taken by AaB themselves.
- AaB games clear the 9.5 corner line 56% of the time.
- Aarhus Fremad matches average 2.97 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving AaB produce 3.10 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 59%.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 12.3 across their last 4 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 58% probability.
Aarhus Fremad — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Hobro IK | 2–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | W Brabrand | 2–0 | 11–0 |
| 2026-07-08 | H | W Silkeborg IF | 1–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | D B93 Copenhagen | 2–2 | 3–9 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W AaB | 5–0 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | W Hobro IK | 3–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | D HB Køge | 0–0 | 9–5 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Middelfart | 1–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L Hobro IK | 0–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | W Middelfart | 5–1 | 8–3 |
AaB — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Hillerød | 1–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | L Silkeborg IF | 1–2 | 2–1 |
| 2026-07-08 | H | D Randers FC | 2–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | W Viborg | 3–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W HB Køge | 1–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Aarhus Fremad | 0–5 | 4–9 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D B93 Copenhagen | 1–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L Middelfart | 1–3 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | D Hobro IK | 1–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D HB Køge | 1–1 | 8–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Aarhus Fremad vs AaB?
- Our model gives Aarhus Fremad a 51% chance, the draw 26% and AaB 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Aarhus Fremad vs AaB?
- The corner model projects 10.6 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 58% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.