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Scotland Premiership

Aberdeen vs Hearts Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.12 – 1.46
Avg goals2.58
Our pickAway
Aberdeen 28% Draw 29% Hearts 44%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 44% 2.28 2.20
Double chance – Draw or away 72% 1.38 1.34
Goals 2.75 Under +13% Value 59% 1.71 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 53% 1.89 1.57
Asian handicap 0.25 Away 51% 1.96 1.93
Corners 10 Over +6% Value 56% 1.78 1.90
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.34 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.20  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.20
Goals 2.75 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.93  ·  Away 1.93
Corners 10 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.3 Aberdeen
10.4 Expected corners
5.2 Hearts

Aberdeen corner stats · Hearts corner stats

Corner line 10.00
Over 56% Under 44%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10.4 corners here; Aberdeen are forecast for 5.3.
  • Aberdeen matches average 10.21 total corners (5.20 won per game) across their last 56 with corner data.
  • Aberdeen games clear the 9.5 corner line 61% of the time.
  • Hearts win 5.73 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.02 over their last 44.
  • Hearts games clear the 9.5 corner line 61% of the time.
  • Aberdeen matches average 2.55 goals, with both teams scoring in 34% of them.
  • Games involving Hearts produce 2.66 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10.4 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 59% probability.

Aberdeen — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Kelty Hearts 3–0 14–0
2026-07-23 A W Queen of South 4–1 16–1
2026-07-19 H W Queen's Park 2–1 9–2
2026-07-11 A W Linfield 2–0 4–1
2026-07-04 A L FC Twente 0–1 6–5
2026-05-17 A L Dundee 2–3 2–7
2026-05-13 H L St Mirren 0–2 6–1
2026-05-09 H W Dundee Utd 2–0 4–2
2026-05-02 A D Livingston 2–2 3–6
2026-04-25 H W Kilmarnock 1–0 6–5

Hearts — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 H L SK Sturm Graz 0–2 8–2
2026-07-22 A L SK Sturm Graz 0–4 12–4
2026-07-18 H W Rayo Vallecano 2–1 8–3
2026-07-11 A L Livingston 1–2 3–3
2026-05-16 A L Celtic 1–3 6–9
2026-05-14 H W Falkirk 3–0 5–5
2026-05-10 A D Motherwell 1–1 6–2
2026-05-05 H W Rangers 2–1 2–6
2026-04-26 A W Hibernian 2–1 11–0
2026-04-11 H W Motherwell 3–1 6–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Aberdeen vs Hearts?
Our model gives Aberdeen a 28% chance, the draw 29% and Hearts 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Aberdeen vs Hearts?
The corner model projects 10.4 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 56% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.