MathPredictions
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Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

AC Bellinzona vs Bavois Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.15 – 1.84
Avg goals2.99
Our pickAway
AC Bellinzona 22% Draw 25% Bavois 53%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 53% 1.90 1.73
Double chance – Draw or away 78% 1.29 1.18
Goals 2.5 Over 57% 1.74 –
Both teams to score – Yes 58% 1.71 –
Corners 9.5 Over 61% 1.64 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.55 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.60  ·  Draw 3.75  ·  Away 1.73

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.3 AC Bellinzona
10.6 Expected corners
5.3 Bavois

AC Bellinzona corner stats · Bavois corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 61% Under 39%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.6 corners in this match, with AC Bellinzona winning 5.3 of them.
  • AC Bellinzona matches average 9.34 total corners (4.09 won per game) across their last 35 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of AC Bellinzona matches.
  • Bavois win 5.62 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.90 over their last 29.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Bavois matches.
  • Games involving AC Bellinzona produce 3.20 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
  • Bavois matches average 3.10 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (57%).

AC Bellinzona — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-16 A D Etoile Carouge 2–2 3–10
2026-05-12 H L Wil 1900 2–4 8–5
2026-05-09 A L Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0–5 3–5
2026-05-03 H L FC Rapperswil-Jona 2–4 7–3
2026-04-26 A L Neuchatel Xamax 1–2 7–2
2026-04-19 H W Stade Nyonnais 4–0 3–8
2026-04-12 H D Aarau 0–0 3–10
2026-04-08 A L FC Vaduz 2–3 5–7
2026-04-04 A L Yverdon Sport FC 2–5 2–2
2026-03-21 H W Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2–1 2–3

Bavois — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W FC La Sarraz 8–0 12–1
2026-07-23 A D Echallens 0–0 7–2
2026-07-18 H W Meyrin 1–0 5–2
2026-07-16 H W CS Chênois 2–1 4–1
2026-07-11 H W FC Portalban Gletterens 3–2 3–5
2026-05-23 H W SC Cham 3–2 5–2
2026-05-09 H W Lausanne Sport II 2–1 4–4
2026-04-25 H W Lugano II 4–1 5–2
2026-04-19 A L Biel Bienne 2–5 3–7
2026-04-16 H W FC Grand-Saconnex 2–0 2–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win AC Bellinzona vs Bavois?
Our model gives AC Bellinzona a 22% chance, the draw 25% and Bavois 53%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in AC Bellinzona vs Bavois?
The corner model projects 10.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 61% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.