Finland Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs FC Ilves Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.57 – 1.54
Avg goals3.11
Our pickHome
AC Oulu 38%
Draw 26%
FC Ilves 36%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 38% | 2.66 | 2.40 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over | 55% | 1.81 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 63% | 1.58 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 57% | 1.76 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 10.5 | Under +13% Value | 60% | 1.68 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.44 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.40 · Draw 3.50 · Away 2.55 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 10.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.4
AC Oulu
9.7
Expected corners
4.3
FC Ilves
AC Oulu corner stats · FC Ilves corner stats
Corner line 10.50
Over 40%
Under 60%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.7 corners here; AC Oulu are forecast for 5.4.
- AC Oulu matches average 9.79 total corners (5.55 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
- AC Oulu games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
- FC Ilves win 4.47 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.45 over their last 47.
- FC Ilves games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- AC Oulu matches average 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
- Games involving FC Ilves produce 3.43 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 66%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.1 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.75 goals at 55% probability.
AC Oulu — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | D IFK Mariehamn | 1–1 | 9–7 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L IF Gnistan | 0–2 | 10–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L TPS | 0–3 | 9–2 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | D Lahti | 1–1 | 8–1 |
| 2026-06-23 | A | L VPS Vaasa | 1–5 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-18 | H | W IFK Mariehamn | 2–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | D FC Inter | 0–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | W FF Jaro | 2–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W SJK | 1–0 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W TPS | 1–0 | 6–2 |
FC Ilves — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | H | W Stjarnan | 1–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Lahti | 1–0 | 8–8 |
| 2026-07-24 | A | L Stjarnan | 0–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-07-20 | A | W TPS | 3–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | W FC 03 Differdange | 3–1 | 0–2 |
| 2026-07-09 | A | D FC 03 Differdange | 0–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L FF Jaro | 1–2 | 10–7 |
| 2026-07-02 | A | L HJK Helsinki | 1–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | D SJK | 2–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-06-23 | A | L KuPS Kuopio | 3–4 | 4–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win AC Oulu vs FC Ilves?
- Our model gives AC Oulu a 38% chance, the draw 26% and FC Ilves 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in AC Oulu vs FC Ilves?
- The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 40% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.