UK Friendlies
Accrington Stanley vs Sheff Wed Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.35 – 1.22
Avg goals2.57
Our pickHome
Accrington Stanley 39%
Draw 29%
Sheff Wed 32%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +58% Value | 39% | 2.59 | 4.10 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.21 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 4.10 · Draw 4.00 · Away 1.60 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.1
Accrington Stanley
8.6
Expected corners
4.5
Sheff Wed
Accrington Stanley corner stats · Sheff Wed corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 40%
Under 60%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.6 corners in this match, with Accrington Stanley winning 4.1 of them.
- Across 58 recent matches, Accrington Stanley games produced 9.86 corners on average — 4.41 taken by Accrington Stanley themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Accrington Stanley matches.
- Sheff Wed matches average 10.08 total corners (4.12 won per game) across their last 50 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Sheff Wed matches.
- Games involving Accrington Stanley produce 2.31 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
- Sheff Wed matches average 2.58 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
- Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 11.7 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (53%).
Accrington Stanley — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | W Bury | 1–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Chorley | 3–0 | 12–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Bradford | 1–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Blackburn | 0–0 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Oldham | 0–3 | 0–5 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | D Crawley Town | 3–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D Swindon | 2–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-15 | A | L Colchester | 1–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L Fleetwood Town | 1–2 | 4–8 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Gillingham | 0–2 | 2–6 |
Sheff Wed — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | H | W West Brom | 2–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Oxford Utd | 1–4 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | L Middlesbrough | 0–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | D Charlton | 1–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | D Coventry | 0–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | D Leicester | 1–1 | 1–10 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | L Stoke | 0–2 | 2–7 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | L Hull | 1–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-03-14 | H | L Ipswich | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-03-11 | H | D Watford | 1–1 | 5–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Accrington Stanley vs Sheff Wed?
- Our model gives Accrington Stanley a 39% chance, the draw 29% and Sheff Wed 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Accrington Stanley vs Sheff Wed?
- The corner model projects 8.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 40% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.