Europe Friendlies
AD Fafe vs SC Maria da Fonte Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.01 – 1.12
Avg goals3.14
Our pickHome
AD Fafe 57%
Draw 23%
SC Maria da Fonte 20%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 57% | 1.76 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 80% | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away | 55% | 1.81 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.25 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.57 · Draw 4.00 · Away 4.33 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- AD Fafe win 5.25 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.47 over their last 36.
- AD Fafe games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
- AD Fafe matches average 2.22 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 1.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 9 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (51%).
AD Fafe — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | A | D Braga B | 0–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-29 | H | L Sao Joao Ver | 1–2 | 7–6 |
| 2026-04-24 | A | L Torreense | 0–2 | 3–10 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L AD Marco 09 | 0–1 | 5–10 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W AD Sanjoanense | 3–2 | 1–13 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | W USC Paredes | 1–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | D AD Marco 09 | 1–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-03-08 | A | D USC Paredes | 0–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-03-01 | H | W AD Sanjoanense | 3–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-02-21 | A | L Sao Joao Ver | 0–1 | 4–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win AD Fafe vs SC Maria da Fonte?
- Our model gives AD Fafe a 57% chance, the draw 23% and SC Maria da Fonte 20%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.