Australia Northern NSW Premier League
Adamstown Rosebud vs Valentine Phoenix Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 2–1 (HT 0–1)
Corners4–6
Yellow cards1–0
Shots on target4–6
Shots off target4–3
Attacks92–118
Dangerous attacks76–73
Possession56%–44%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.75 – 1.36
Avg goals3.11
Our pickHome
Adamstown Rosebud 46%
Draw 25%
Valentine Phoenix 29%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 46% | 2.18 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.16 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 58% | 1.74 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 52% | 1.91 | 2.03 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 51% | 1.96 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.55 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.20 · Draw 3.90 · Away 2.45 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 2.03 · Away 1.78 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.9
Adamstown Rosebud
9.4
Expected corners
4.6
Valentine Phoenix
Adamstown Rosebud corner stats · Valentine Phoenix corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 49%
Under 51%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.4 corners here; Adamstown Rosebud are forecast for 4.9.
- Across 22 recent matches, Adamstown Rosebud games produced 10.27 corners on average — 4.86 taken by Adamstown Rosebud themselves.
- Adamstown Rosebud games clear the 9.5 corner line 68% of the time.
- Valentine Phoenix matches average 9.62 total corners (4.33 won per game) across their last 21 with corner data.
- Valentine Phoenix games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
- Adamstown Rosebud matches average 3.36 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
- Games involving Valentine Phoenix produce 2.86 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.8 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 58% probability.
Adamstown Rosebud — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | W Valentine Phoenix | 2–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Maitland FC | 1–3 | 0–4 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Edgeworth Eagles | 2–3 | 1–5 |
| 2026-06-24 | A | W Kahibah FC | 2–1 | 7–0 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | D Lambton Jaffas | 1–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Broadmeadow Magic | 1–5 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Newcastle Olympic FC | 2–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Charlestown Azzurri | 2–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | D Belmont Swansea United SC | 2–2 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Cooks Hill United | 1–3 | 5–7 |
Valentine Phoenix — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | L Adamstown Rosebud | 1–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Charlestown Azzurri | 1–0 | 4–0 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W Kahibah FC | 3–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | L Cooks Hill United | 1–3 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | D Lambton Jaffas | 1–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | W Edgeworth Eagles | 2–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | L Maitland FC | 0–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | D Broadmeadow Magic | 1–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D Belmont Swansea United SC | 1–1 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | W Weston Workers FC | 2–0 | 4–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Adamstown Rosebud vs Valentine Phoenix?
- Our model gives Adamstown Rosebud a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Valentine Phoenix 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Adamstown Rosebud vs Valentine Phoenix?
- The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.