MathPredictions
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Australia South Australia State League 1

Adelaide Atletico vs Salisbury United Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-1
Expected goals2.24 – 1.28
Avg goals3.52
Our pickHome
Adelaide Atletico 58% Draw 22% Salisbury United 20%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +11% Value 58% 1.72 1.70
Double chance – Home or draw 80% 1.25 1.20
Goals 3.25 Over 52% 1.91 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 65% 1.53 –
Asian handicap -0.5 Home +14% Value 58% 1.72 1.95
Corners 10.5 Over 50% 1.99 2.00
Correct score – 2-1 +24% Value 10% 10.53 15.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.70  ·  Draw 4.10  ·  Away 3.60
Goals 3.25 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85
Corners 10.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.4 Adelaide Atletico
10.5 Expected corners
5.2 Salisbury United

Adelaide Atletico corner stats · Salisbury United corner stats

Corner line 10.50
Over 50% Under 50%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10.5 corners here; Adelaide Atletico are forecast for 5.4.
  • Adelaide Atletico win 4.63 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.79 over their last 19.
  • Adelaide Atletico games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
  • Across 24 recent matches, Salisbury United games produced 10.50 corners on average — 5.04 taken by Salisbury United themselves.
  • Salisbury United games clear the 9.5 corner line 58% of the time.
  • Adelaide Atletico matches average 3.26 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.
  • Games involving Salisbury United produce 3.54 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
  • The model leans Over 3.25 goals at 52% probability.

Adelaide Atletico — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Modbury Jets 0–4 2–2
2026-07-18 H L Adelaide Olympic 0–1 3–7
2026-07-04 A D Cove 0–0 3–5
2026-06-27 H W Adelaide Blue Eagles 4–0 6–5
2026-06-20 H L Adelaide Croatia Raiders 1–3 4–4
2026-06-13 A L Fulham United FC 1–4 6–2
2026-06-06 H W Cumberland United 2–1 1–4
2026-05-30 A W Adelaide Cobras 3–2 8–6
2026-05-23 H D South Adelaide Panthers 1–1 9–3
2026-05-16 H W Eastern United 5–0 3–6

Salisbury United — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-24 A W Eastern United 3–0 4–7
2026-07-18 H L Modbury Jets 2–3 10–6
2026-07-03 A L Adelaide Olympic 0–1 5–7
2026-06-27 H L Cove 0–4 6–6
2026-06-20 A D Fulham United FC 2–2 3–5
2026-06-13 A L Adelaide Blue Eagles 0–3 1–5
2026-06-06 H W Adelaide Croatia Raiders 4–3 6–14
2026-05-30 A L Cumberland United 3–4 3–4
2026-05-23 H W Adelaide Cobras 2–1 12–5
2026-05-16 A L South Adelaide Panthers 0–2 5–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Adelaide Atletico vs Salisbury United?
Our model gives Adelaide Atletico a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Salisbury United 20%. The most likely score is 2-1.
How many corners are expected in Adelaide Atletico vs Salisbury United?
The corner model projects 10.5 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.