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Europe Friendlies

ADO Den Haag vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.96 – 1.20
Avg goals3.16
Our pickHome
ADO Den Haag 54% Draw 24% Asteras Tripolis 22%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 54% 1.86 1.60
Double chance – Home or draw 78% 1.29 1.15
Goals 3 Under 50% 2.00 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 61% 1.64 –
Asian handicap -0.75 Away 52% 1.93 2.03
Corners 8.5 Over +32% Value 68% 1.47 1.95
Correct score – 1-1 11% 9.10 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.60  ·  Draw 4.10  ·  Away 4.20
Goals 3 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.78  ·  Away 2.03
Corners 8.5 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

10.1 Expected corners

ADO Den Haag corner stats · Asteras Tripolis corner stats

Corner line 8.50
Over 68% Under 32%

Match trends

  • ADO Den Haag matches average 10.64 total corners (6.98 won per game) across their last 42 with corner data.
  • ADO Den Haag games clear the 9.5 corner line 62% of the time.
  • Asteras Tripolis win 4.47 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.23 over their last 43.
  • Asteras Tripolis games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
  • ADO Den Haag matches average 3.45 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.
  • Games involving Asteras Tripolis produce 2.40 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
  • The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 50% probability.

ADO Den Haag — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-24 H W Lommel 4–0 6–3
2026-04-25 A W FC Den Bosch 3–1 8–3
2026-04-18 H W RKC 5–1 9–2
2026-04-12 A L FC Dordrecht 0–1 5–8
2026-04-06 H W FC Eindhoven 4–0 2–4
2026-04-04 H W Ajax Reserves 4–2 8–5
2026-03-22 A W De Graafschap 2–1 7–3
2026-03-18 H W FC Utrecht Reserves 1–0 5–3
2026-03-14 A W FC Emmen 1–0 7–6
2026-03-07 A L Almere City 0–1 4–3

Asteras Tripolis — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A D Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 5–3
2026-05-22 A W Panetolikos 2–1 7–5
2026-05-17 H D AE Kifisias 0–0 11–2
2026-05-13 H W Panserraikos 1–0 11–2
2026-05-09 A D Larissa 1–1 4–6
2026-05-03 H W Atromitos Athinon 4–2 4–4
2026-04-26 A L Atromitos Athinon 1–2 10–5
2026-04-23 H W Panetolikos 2–1 1–2
2026-04-18 A D AE Kifisias 0–0 1–4
2026-04-08 A D Panserraikos 0–0 4–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win ADO Den Haag vs Asteras Tripolis?
Our model gives ADO Den Haag a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Asteras Tripolis 22%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in ADO Den Haag vs Asteras Tripolis?
The corner model projects 10.1 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 68% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.