Europe Friendlies
AEK Athens vs Sint-Truidense Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.49 – 1.36
Avg goals2.86
Our pickHome
AEK Athens 39%
Draw 27%
Sint-Truidense 33%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 39% | 2.54 | 1.91 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.38 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away +11% Value | 61% | 1.65 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.76 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.91 · Draw 3.50 · Away 3.25 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- AEK Athens win 5.74 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.34 over their last 53.
- AEK Athens games clear the 9.5 corner line 49% of the time.
- Across 46 recent matches, Sint-Truidense games produced 9.96 corners on average — 5.50 taken by Sint-Truidense themselves.
- Sint-Truidense games clear the 9.5 corner line 63% of the time.
- AEK Athens matches average 2.51 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
- Games involving Sint-Truidense produce 2.52 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 51% probability.
AEK Athens — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | L Samsunspor | 1–2 | 0–5 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | W PEC Zwolle | 3–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-16 | A | D Vitesse | 0–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W De Graafschap | 2–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | D Olympiacos | 1–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | D PAOK Salonika | 1–1 | 5–8 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | W Panathinaikos | 2–1 | 8–1 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | D Panathinaikos | 0–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-17 | H | W Rayo Vallecano | 3–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-04-10 | A | L Rayo Vallecano | 0–3 | 8–1 |
Sint-Truidense — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | L Helmond Sport | 0–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | W RFC Liege | 1–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Lucerne | 2–1 | 2–11 |
| 2026-07-16 | A | W Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 4–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-02 | A | W KVV Thes Sport | 2–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | W KV Mechelen | 3–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | L Anderlecht | 1–3 | 9–8 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | D Gent | 1–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Club Brugge | 0–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Union Saint Gilloise | 2–1 | 9–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win AEK Athens vs Sint-Truidense?
- Our model gives AEK Athens a 39% chance, the draw 27% and Sint-Truidense 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.