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Wales Championship South

Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.30 – 1.29
Avg goals2.59
Our pickHome
Afan Lido 36% Draw 29% Aberystwyth 35%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 36% 2.78 2.63
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.41 1.18
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.92 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 54% 1.85 –
Corners 9.5 Under 51% 1.96 –
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.23 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.63  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 2.15
Goals 2.75 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.1 Afan Lido
9.4 Expected corners
4.4 Aberystwyth

Afan Lido corner stats · Aberystwyth corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 49% Under 51%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.4 corners in this match, with Afan Lido winning 5.1 of them.
  • Across 29 recent matches, Afan Lido games produced 9.52 corners on average — 3.79 taken by Afan Lido themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of Afan Lido matches.
  • Aberystwyth matches average 9.83 total corners (4.34 won per game) across their last 29 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of Aberystwyth matches.
  • Games involving Afan Lido produce 3.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 41%.
  • Aberystwyth matches average 2.66 goals, with both teams scoring in 41% of them.
  • Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 1 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 9.3 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).

Afan Lido — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-04 A L Cardiff Met Uni 1–2 2–3
2026-04-18 A L Cardiff Draconians 1–4 5–3
2026-04-03 H W Cwmbran Celtic 4–1 7–4
2026-03-28 A W Aberystwyth 1–0 6–4
2026-03-24 A W Treowen Stars 1–0 2–8
2026-03-21 H W Llantwit Major 4–1 3–3
2026-03-14 H L Cambrian United 0–4 0–5
2026-03-07 A L Caerau Ely 1–4 3–12
2026-03-01 H W Ammanford AFC 3–1 6–4
2026-02-21 H W Trethomas Bluebirds 1–0 5–5

Aberystwyth — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-18 A D Ynyshir Albions 0–0 2–3
2026-04-11 A L Cwmbran Celtic 1–3 7–4
2026-04-04 H D Llantwit Major 2–2 6–7
2026-03-28 H L Afan Lido 0–1 4–6
2026-03-21 A L Cambrian United 0–2 2–11
2026-03-14 H W Trethomas Bluebirds 3–0 1–6
2026-03-07 A L Trefelin BGC 0–4 5–6
2026-03-01 H L Caerau Ely 0–4 8–9
2026-02-25 A L Ammanford AFC 1–2 4–6
2026-02-14 H W Treowen Stars 2–1 3–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth?
Our model gives Afan Lido a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Aberystwyth 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth?
The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.