UK Friendlies
AFC Telford vs Tamworth Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.46 – 1.60
Avg goals3.05
Our pickAway
AFC Telford 34%
Draw 26%
Tamworth 40%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 40% | 2.50 | 1.91 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.36 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 59% | 1.70 | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.29 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.10 · Draw 3.75 · Away 1.91 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.78 · Under 2.03 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.9
AFC Telford
8.7
Expected corners
4.7
Tamworth
AFC Telford corner stats · Tamworth corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 40%
Under 60%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.7 corners in this match, with AFC Telford winning 3.9 of them.
- AFC Telford win 5.23 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.55 over their last 56.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of AFC Telford matches.
- Across 63 recent matches, Tamworth games produced 9.90 corners on average — 5.40 taken by Tamworth themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 49% of Tamworth matches.
- Games involving AFC Telford produce 3.34 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 68%.
- Tamworth matches average 2.84 goals, with both teams scoring in 65% of them.
- Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 2.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 7.2 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (59%).
AFC Telford — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Walsall | 1–0 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | L Crewe | 0–3 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Southport | 0–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | D Darlington | 1–1 | 9–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W Peterborough Sports | 3–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | L Kidderminster | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | L Chester | 1–2 | 9–5 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | D Bedford Town | 2–2 | 7–1 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | L Marine | 0–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-03-18 | H | W Macclesfield FC | 3–0 | 4–3 |
Tamworth — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | D Macclesfield FC | 1–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | D Halesowen | 2–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | L Aston Villa U21 | 1–2 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Walton & Hersham | 2–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W Lichfield City | 4–2 | 9–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Braintree Town | 5–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D Eastleigh | 1–1 | 8–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L York | 0–1 | 1–5 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D Halifax | 2–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | W Solihull Moors | 1–0 | 7–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win AFC Telford vs Tamworth?
- Our model gives AFC Telford a 34% chance, the draw 26% and Tamworth 40%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in AFC Telford vs Tamworth?
- The corner model projects 8.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 40% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.