MathPredictions
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UK Friendlies

AFC Wimbledon vs QPR Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.37 – 1.74
Avg goals3.11
Our pickAway
AFC Wimbledon 29% Draw 26% QPR 45%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 45% 2.21 1.91
Double chance – Home or away 75% 1.34 1.15
Goals 3 Under 51% 1.95 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 63% 1.60 –
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 55% 1.83 1.83
Corners 9.5 Under 63% 1.59 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.55 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.90  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 1.91
Goals 3 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.1 AFC Wimbledon
8.4 Expected corners
4.3 QPR

AFC Wimbledon corner stats · QPR corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 37% Under 63%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.4 corners in this match, with AFC Wimbledon winning 4.1 of them.
  • Across 59 recent matches, AFC Wimbledon games produced 9.49 corners on average — 4.66 taken by AFC Wimbledon themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of AFC Wimbledon matches.
  • QPR matches average 9.96 total corners (4.79 won per game) across their last 53 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 49% of QPR matches.
  • Games involving AFC Wimbledon produce 2.78 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
  • QPR matches average 2.87 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.
  • Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 2 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 12.3 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (51%).

AFC Wimbledon — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A L Wealdstone 0–1 6–1
2026-07-25 H W Charlton 2–0 4–5
2026-07-23 H D Norwich 0–0 0–6
2026-07-18 A W Sutton Utd 2–1 6–2
2026-05-02 H L Huddersfield 0–4 5–3
2026-04-25 A W Wigan 1–0 3–10
2026-04-18 H L Plymouth 1–3 5–7
2026-04-16 H L Stockport 0–2 7–3
2026-04-11 A L Burton Albion 0–1 2–9
2026-04-06 H L Luton 0–3 8–3

QPR — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Fiorentina 3–2 4–2
2026-07-21 H W Wycombe 1–0 8–1
2026-07-17 A W Wiener Neustadt 3–1 6–2
2026-07-12 A D First Vienna FC 1894 0–0 6–5
2026-05-02 A L Ipswich 0–3 2–4
2026-04-25 H L Derby 2–3 10–6
2026-04-22 H L Swansea 1–2 4–5
2026-04-18 A L Millwall 0–2 10–6
2026-04-11 H D Bristol City 0–0 3–6
2026-04-06 A D Preston 1–1 6–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win AFC Wimbledon vs QPR?
Our model gives AFC Wimbledon a 29% chance, the draw 26% and QPR 45%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in AFC Wimbledon vs QPR?
The corner model projects 8.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 37% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.