Sweden Allsvenskan
AIK vs Orgryte IS Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.98 – 0.97
Avg goals2.95
Our pickHome
AIK 60%
Draw 23%
Orgryte IS 17%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 60% | 1.67 | 1.45 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 83% | 1.20 | 1.11 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 56% | 1.79 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.84 | 1.75 |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away | 58% | 1.72 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 10.5 | Over +10% Value | 56% | 1.78 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.07 | 9.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.45 · Draw 4.75 · Away 5.75 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 10.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.1
AIK
11.1
Expected corners
4.0
Orgryte IS
AIK corner stats · Orgryte IS corner stats
Corner line 10.50
Over 56%
Under 44%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11.1 corners here; AIK are forecast for 7.1.
- Across 35 recent matches, AIK games produced 10.74 corners on average — 5.86 taken by AIK themselves.
- AIK games clear the 9.5 corner line 54% of the time.
- Orgryte IS matches average 11.29 total corners (5.03 won per game) across their last 34 with corner data.
- Orgryte IS games clear the 9.5 corner line 62% of the time.
- AIK matches average 2.89 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
- Games involving Orgryte IS produce 2.91 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
- The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.3 across their last 3 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 56% probability.
AIK — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | D BK Hacken | 0–0 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W GAIS | 2–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Mjällby AIF | 2–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W IFK Goteborg | 2–1 | 7–10 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L Sirius | 0–3 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Hammarby | 2–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | D Västerås SK FK | 1–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L Djurgarden | 2–4 | 7–9 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D Elfsborg | 1–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-28 | H | L Malmo FF | 0–1 | 16–6 |
Orgryte IS — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Västerås SK FK | 0–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-21 | H | D Djurgarden | 0–0 | 3–13 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W BK Hacken | 4–3 | 5–8 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L Kalmar FF | 0–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | D Elfsborg | 2–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Halmstad | 0–2 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-19 | H | L IFK Goteborg | 2–3 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | L Sirius | 0–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L GAIS | 0–4 | 2–8 |
| 2026-04-28 | H | D Degerfors | 1–1 | 5–0 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win AIK vs Orgryte IS?
- Our model gives AIK a 60% chance, the draw 23% and Orgryte IS 17%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in AIK vs Orgryte IS?
- The corner model projects 11.1 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 56% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.