Lebanon League
Al Ahed vs Jwaya FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.31 – 1.13
Avg goals2.44
Our pickHome
Al Ahed 39%
Draw 30%
Jwaya FC 31%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 39% | 2.55 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 70% | 1.43 | 1.25 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 56% | 1.79 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.04 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.38 · Draw 3.20 · Away 2.63 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.1
Al Ahed
9.1
Expected corners
5.0
Jwaya FC
Al Ahed corner stats · Jwaya FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 45%
Under 55%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.1 corners in this match, with Al Ahed winning 4.1 of them.
- Al Ahed win 4.50 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.93 over their last 28.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of Al Ahed matches.
- Across 22 recent matches, Jwaya FC games produced 9.14 corners on average — 5.32 taken by Jwaya FC themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Jwaya FC matches.
- Games involving Al Ahed produce 2.64 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 39%.
- Jwaya FC matches average 2.23 goals, with both teams scoring in 32% of them.
- Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 1.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 9.7 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (56%).
Al Ahed — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | D Al Ansar Beirut | 1–1 | 2–10 |
| 2026-07-20 | A | L Jwaya FC | 0–2 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | L Al Nejmeh | 0–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | D Al Ansar Beirut | 3–3 | 6–8 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Shabab Al-Sahel | 4–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-24 | H | W Safa Beirut | 4–1 | 0–3 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L Al Ansar Beirut | 1–3 | 4–9 |
| 2026-06-16 | H | W Sagesse SC | 1–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | L Al Nejmeh | 0–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L Safa Beirut | 1–2 | 8–2 |
Jwaya FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | L Al Ansar Beirut | 1–2 | 1–7 |
| 2026-07-20 | H | W Al Ahed | 2–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | L Al Ansar Beirut | 0–2 | 0–9 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | D Al Nejmeh | 0–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-02 | H | D Shabab Al-Sahel | 0–0 | 3–0 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | D Safa Beirut | 1–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-25 | A | L Al Ansar Beirut | 0–3 | 4–7 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | D Sagesse SC | 3–3 | 9–5 |
| 2026-06-17 | H | W Al Nejmeh | 2–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-02-21 | A | W Al-Mabarrah | 2–0 | 10–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Al Ahed vs Jwaya FC?
- Our model gives Al Ahed a 39% chance, the draw 30% and Jwaya FC 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Al Ahed vs Jwaya FC?
- The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 45% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.