Lebanon League
Al Nejmeh vs Al Ansar Beirut Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.13 – 1.20
Avg goals2.33
Our pickAway
Al Nejmeh 33%
Draw 31%
Al Ansar Beirut 36%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 36% | 2.77 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 69% | 1.45 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 59% | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 15% | 6.89 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.45 · Draw 3.20 · Away 2.50 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.3
Al Nejmeh
9.5
Expected corners
5.3
Al Ansar Beirut
Al Nejmeh corner stats · Al Ansar Beirut corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 50%
Under 50%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.5 corners in this match, with Al Nejmeh winning 4.3 of them.
- Al Nejmeh matches average 9.17 total corners (5.74 won per game) across their last 23 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of Al Nejmeh matches.
- Al Ansar Beirut win 6.09 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.44 over their last 32.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Al Ansar Beirut matches.
- Games involving Al Nejmeh produce 2.13 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 35%.
- Al Ansar Beirut matches average 2.97 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.6 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.2 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (59%).
Al Nejmeh — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | A | D Al Ansar Beirut | 1–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-07-16 | A | W Al Ahed | 2–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | D Jwaya FC | 0–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-09 | H | W Sagesse SC | 2–0 | 11–6 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W Sagesse SC | 1–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-25 | H | W Tadamon Sour | 1–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W Al-Mabarrah | 5–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-17 | A | L Jwaya FC | 1–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Al Ahed | 1–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-02-11 | H | D Jwaya FC | 1–1 | 8–3 |
Al Ansar Beirut — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | W Jwaya FC | 2–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | D Al Ahed | 1–1 | 10–2 |
| 2026-07-21 | H | D Al Nejmeh | 1–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | W Jwaya FC | 2–0 | 9–0 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | D Al Ahed | 3–3 | 8–6 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | W Tadamon Sour | 3–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-06-30 | A | W Al-Mabarrah | 7–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-25 | H | W Jwaya FC | 3–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W Al Ahed | 3–1 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-12 | H | L Al Ahed | 1–2 | 6–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Al Nejmeh vs Al Ansar Beirut?
- Our model gives Al Nejmeh a 33% chance, the draw 31% and Al Ansar Beirut 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Al Nejmeh vs Al Ansar Beirut?
- The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.