Costa Rica Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Escorpiones de Belen FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.62 – 0.96
Avg goals2.57
Our pickHome
Alajuelense 52%
Draw 27%
Escorpiones de Belen FC 21%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 52% | 1.94 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 79% | 1.27 | 1.09 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 51% | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away | 55% | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 52% | 1.94 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.70 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.48 · Draw 4.10 · Away 5.00 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
Alajuelense
9.4
Expected corners
4.8
Escorpiones de Belen FC
Alajuelense corner stats · Escorpiones de Belen FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 48%
Under 52%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.4 corners here; Alajuelense are forecast for 4.6.
- Alajuelense matches average 10.67 total corners (5.44 won per game) across their last 55 with corner data.
- Alajuelense games clear the 9.5 corner line 62% of the time.
- Escorpiones de Belen FC win 6.56 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.75 over their last 36.
- Escorpiones de Belen FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 56% of the time.
- Alajuelense matches average 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
- Games involving Escorpiones de Belen FC produce 3.06 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 61%.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 53% probability.
Alajuelense — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | W Xelaju | 1–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Sporting San Jose | 1–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | L Herediano | 0–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | L Municipal Liberia | 1–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-24 | H | W Puntarenas | 5–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-04-20 | H | D Deportivo Saprissa | 1–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | W Sporting San Jose | 2–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | D Guadalupe FC | 1–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | L Herediano | 1–2 | 6–12 |
| 2026-03-18 | H | L LAFC | 1–2 | 2–10 |
Escorpiones de Belen FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | H | D Inter San Carlos | 0–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-05-05 | A | D Inter San Carlos | 0–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W PFA Santa Cruz | 4–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | D PFA Santa Cruz | 1–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | W FC Aserri | 8–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-03-30 | A | W Futbol Consultants Desamparados | 1–0 | 6–0 |
| 2026-03-27 | H | W CS Uruguay de Coronado | 2–0 | 10–0 |
| 2026-03-24 | A | D Pitbulls Santa Barbara | 1–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-03-17 | H | W Cariari Pococi | 4–1 | 10–1 |
| 2026-03-08 | A | L AD Carmelita | 0–2 | 5–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Alajuelense vs Escorpiones de Belen FC?
- Our model gives Alajuelense a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Escorpiones de Belen FC 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Alajuelense vs Escorpiones de Belen FC?
- The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.