Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
Albion FC vs Danubio Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE HT 0–2
Corners5–2
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target1–3
Shots off target1–0
Attacks44–38
Dangerous attacks33–16
Possession63%–37%
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.31 – 0.78
Avg goals2.09
Our pickHome
Albion FC 48%
Draw 31%
Danubio 21%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 48% | 2.09 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 79% | 1.27 | 1.27 |
| Goals | 2 | Under | 52% | 1.94 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 59% | 1.69 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9 | Over | 56% | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +20% Value | 15% | 6.69 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.10 · Draw 3.20 · Away 3.30 |
| Goals 2 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.4
Albion FC
9.4
Expected corners
5.0
Danubio
Albion FC corner stats · Danubio corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 56%
Under 44%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.4 corners in this match, with Albion FC winning 4.4 of them.
- Albion FC win 4.58 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.38 over their last 40.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of Albion FC matches.
- Across 37 recent matches, Danubio games produced 8.59 corners on average — 4.43 taken by Danubio themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Danubio matches.
- Games involving Albion FC produce 2.25 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 45%.
- Danubio matches average 2.16 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
- Across their previous 5 meetings, these sides averaged 2.4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 5 meetings with corner data averaged 9.4 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.00 (52%).
Albion FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Juventud De Las Piedras | 0–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | D Deportivo Maldonado | 1–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | W Club Atletico Progreso | 2–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | L Montevideo City Torque | 1–2 | 4–11 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Nacional De Football | 0–1 | 0–13 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | D Montevideo Wanderers | 0–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Danubio | 1–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | W Nacional De Football | 3–2 | 1–9 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W Deportivo Maldonado | 2–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Central Espanol | 6–1 | 7–2 |
Danubio — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Montevideo City Torque | 0–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | D Nacional De Football | 0–0 | 6–7 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | D Juventud De Las Piedras | 1–1 | 10–5 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | D Montevideo Wanderers | 0–0 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | L Club Atletico Progreso | 1–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | L Deportivo Maldonado | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L Albion FC | 0–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Liverpool Montevideo | 0–3 | 4–1 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W Nacional De Football | 2–1 | 3–10 |
| 2026-04-20 | H | D Deportivo Maldonado | 1–1 | 1–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Albion FC vs Danubio?
- Our model gives Albion FC a 48% chance, the draw 31% and Danubio 21%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in Albion FC vs Danubio?
- The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 56% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.