Peru Liga 1
Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.66 – 0.75
Avg goals2.41
Our pickHome
Alianza Lima 58%
Draw 26%
Alianza Atletico 15%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 58% | 1.72 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 85% | 1.18 | 1.08 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under +7% Value | 57% | 1.76 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 56% | 1.78 | 1.62 |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away +13% Value | 62% | 1.60 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 8 | Under +12% Value | 61% | 1.63 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +136% Value | 14% | 7.22 | 17.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.44 · Draw 4.20 · Away 7.50 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
Alianza Lima
7.2
Expected corners
2.6
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima corner stats · Alianza Atletico corner stats
Corner line 8.00
Over 39%
Under 61%
Match trends
- Our model projects 7.2 corners in this match, with Alianza Lima winning 4.6 of them.
- Across 49 recent matches, Alianza Lima games produced 7.59 corners on average — 4.18 taken by Alianza Lima themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 29% of Alianza Lima matches.
- Alianza Atletico matches average 7.70 total corners (3.70 won per game) across their last 46 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 24% of Alianza Atletico matches.
- Games involving Alianza Lima produce 2.63 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 59%.
- Alianza Atletico matches average 2.11 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.2 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (57%).
Alianza Lima — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | D Comerciantes Unidos | 2–2 | 2–1 |
| 2026-07-20 | H | W Sport Huancayo | 2–1 | 11–2 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | L Deportivo Cali | 0–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | L Alianza Atletico | 1–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L Carlos Mannucci | 1–3 | 9–1 |
| 2026-06-15 | A | D Cesar Vallejo | 0–0 | 3–10 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | D FC Cajamarca | 1–1 | 1–2 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W CD Los Chankas | 3–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Cienciano | 1–0 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D Sporting Cristal | 1–1 | 1–2 |
Alianza Atletico — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W CD Los Chankas | 3–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Cusco FC | 1–4 | 2–8 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Pirata FC | 3–2 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | W Alianza Lima | 2–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | W Cesar Vallejo | 2–0 | 2–1 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W Carlos Mannucci | 1–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | L FBC Melgar | 1–3 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | L Tigre | 0–2 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | D FC Cajamarca | 1–1 | 7–0 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | D Macara | 0–0 | 1–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
- Our model gives Alianza Lima a 58% chance, the draw 26% and Alianza Atletico 15%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
- The corner model projects 7.2 total corners. Over 8.00 corners is rated at 39% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.