MathPredictions

Peru Liga 1

Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-0
Expected goals1.66 – 0.75
Avg goals2.41
Our pickHome
Alianza Lima 58% Draw 26% Alianza Atletico 15%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 58% 1.72 1.44
Double chance Home or draw 85% 1.18 1.08
Goals 2.5 Under +7% Value 57% 1.76 1.88
Both teams to score No 56% 1.78 1.62
Asian handicap -1.25 Away +13% Value 62% 1.60 1.83
Corners 8 Under +12% Value 61% 1.63 1.95
Correct score 1-0 +136% Value 14% 7.22 17.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.44  ·  Draw 4.20  ·  Away 7.50
Goals 2.5 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap -1.25 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83
Corners 8.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.6 Alianza Lima
7.2 Expected corners
2.6 Alianza Atletico
Corner line 8.00
Over 39% Under 61%

Match trends

Alianza Lima — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 A D Comerciantes Unidos 2–2 2–1
2026-07-20 H W Sport Huancayo 2–1 11–2
2026-07-13 H L Deportivo Cali 0–2 4–2
2026-06-29 H L Alianza Atletico 1–2 2–6
2026-06-21 A L Carlos Mannucci 1–3 9–1
2026-06-15 A D Cesar Vallejo 0–0 3–10
2026-06-01 A D FC Cajamarca 1–1 1–2
2026-05-24 H W CD Los Chankas 3–0 3–1
2026-05-17 A W Cienciano 1–0 1–7
2026-05-10 H D Sporting Cristal 1–1 1–2

Alianza Atletico — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W CD Los Chankas 3–1 2–6
2026-07-19 A L Cusco FC 1–4 2–8
2026-07-11 H W Pirata FC 3–2 5–3
2026-06-29 A W Alianza Lima 2–1 6–2
2026-06-20 H W Cesar Vallejo 2–0 2–1
2026-06-14 A W Carlos Mannucci 1–0 3–2
2026-06-01 A L FBC Melgar 1–3 1–5
2026-05-29 A L Tigre 0–2 1–4
2026-05-25 H D FC Cajamarca 1–1 7–0
2026-05-22 A D Macara 0–0 1–7

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Our model gives Alianza Lima a 58% chance, the draw 26% and Alianza Atletico 15%. The most likely score is 1-0.
How many corners are expected in Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
The corner model projects 7.2 total corners. Over 8.00 corners is rated at 39% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.