MathPredictions

Colombia Primera A

Alianza vs Deportes Tolima Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.07 – 1.08
Avg goals2.15
Our pickAway
Alianza 34% Draw 32% Deportes Tolima 34%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 34% 2.93 2.80
Double chance Home or away 68% 1.48 1.35
Goals 2.25 Under 58% 1.73 1.83
Both teams to score No 55% 1.81 1.83
Asian handicap 0 Away 50% 1.98 1.98
Corners 9 Under 52% 1.92 1.83
Correct score 1-1 15% 6.75 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.60  ·  Draw 3.10  ·  Away 2.80
Goals 2.25 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98
Corners 9 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.9 Alianza
8.8 Expected corners
3.9 Deportes Tolima
Corner line 9.00
Over 48% Under 52%

Match trends

Alianza — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H D Fortaleza CEIF 1–1 5–3
2026-05-25 H W Atletico Bucaramanga 2–1 8–5
2026-05-21 A L Deportivo Cali 0–1 4–8
2026-05-17 H W CD Real Santander 3–0 6–1
2026-05-09 A D Boca Juniors De Cali 1–1 3–2
2026-05-04 H D Millonarios 2–2 3–8
2026-04-27 A D Llaneros 0–0 2–7
2026-04-20 H L Independiente Medellin 0–1 6–4
2026-04-13 A L Internacional de Bogota 1–2 6–4
2026-04-07 A W Deportivo Pereira 3–2 5–5

Deportes Tolima — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A L Deportes Quindio 1–2 0–5
2026-07-26 H W Junior 2–1 1–7
2026-07-22 H W Deportes Quindio 2–1 9–3
2026-05-27 A D Universitario de Deportes 0–0 3–9
2026-05-24 A L Atletico Nacional 1–3 4–7
2026-05-20 A L Coquimbo Unido 0–2 4–1
2026-05-17 H L Atletico Nacional 0–1 8–2
2026-05-14 A W Deportivo Pasto 2–0 2–9
2026-05-10 H W Deportivo Pasto 1–0 6–6
2026-05-07 H W Nacional De Football 3–0 10–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Alianza vs Deportes Tolima?
Our model gives Alianza a 34% chance, the draw 32% and Deportes Tolima 34%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Alianza vs Deportes Tolima?
The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 48% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.