MathPredictions
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Argentina Nacional B

Almagro vs Ferrocarril Midland Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 0-0
Expected goals0.81 – 0.83
Avg goals1.64
Our pickDraw
Almagro 31% Draw 37% Ferrocarril Midland 32%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Draw 37% 2.68 2.80
Double chance – Draw or away 69% 1.44 1.39
Goals 1.75 Under 58% 1.73 1.85
Both teams to score – No 67% 1.49 1.50
Asian handicap 0 Away 51% 1.96 1.90
Corners 9.5 Under 61% 1.63 –
Correct score – 0-0 21% 4.85 5.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.70  ·  Draw 2.80  ·  Away 2.75
Goals 1.75 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.7 Almagro
8.6 Expected corners
3.9 Ferrocarril Midland

Almagro corner stats · Ferrocarril Midland corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 39% Under 61%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.6 corners in this match, with Almagro winning 4.7 of them.
  • Almagro win 4.90 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.67 over their last 30.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 57% of Almagro matches.
  • Across 37 recent matches, Ferrocarril Midland games produced 8.08 corners on average — 4.49 taken by Ferrocarril Midland themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 35% of Ferrocarril Midland matches.
  • Games involving Almagro produce 1.70 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 30%.
  • Ferrocarril Midland matches average 1.78 goals, with both teams scoring in 32% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 1.75 (58%).

Almagro — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 A W CA Atlanta 3–1 3–5
2026-07-13 A L San Martin de Tucuman 0–3 0–5
2026-07-05 H W Atletico Rafaela 1–0 6–2
2026-06-21 H W CA Atlanta 2–0 6–4
2026-06-14 H W Agropecuario 2–1 8–4
2026-06-07 A D Tristan Suarez 0–0 3–5
2026-06-01 H W CA Guemes 2–0 12–1
2026-05-25 A L Chacarita Juniors 0–1 5–5
2026-05-18 H L San Martin SJ 1–2 2–8
2026-05-12 A W Nueva Chicago 2–1 3–5

Ferrocarril Midland — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H W Patronato Parana 1–0 6–1
2026-07-13 H W Quilmes 1–0 3–3
2026-07-06 H D Gimnasia Jujuy 1–1 9–2
2026-06-22 A D Patronato Parana 1–1 2–6
2026-06-14 H L CA Atlanta 1–2 1–0
2026-06-06 A L Gimnasia y Tiro 0–1 1–6
2026-06-01 H W San Martin de Tucuman 2–0 4–2
2026-05-24 A L Atletico Rafaela 0–1 2–4
2026-05-18 H W Agropecuario 2–0 8–4
2026-05-10 A W Tristan Suarez 3–1 5–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Almagro vs Ferrocarril Midland?
Our model gives Almagro a 31% chance, the draw 37% and Ferrocarril Midland 32%. The most likely score is 0-0.
How many corners are expected in Almagro vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The corner model projects 8.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 39% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.