Colombia Primera A
America de Cali vs Boyaca Chico Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.88 – 0.58
Avg goals2.46
Our pickHome
America de Cali 68%
Draw 23%
Boyaca Chico 10%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 68% | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 90% | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 56% | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 62% | 1.61 | 1.53 |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away | 52% | 1.94 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Under +10% Value | 62% | 1.61 | 1.78 |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +189% Value | 15% | 6.58 | 19.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.36 · Draw 4.33 · Away 10.00 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
| Corners 8 | Over 2.03 · Under 1.78 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
America de Cali
7.6
Expected corners
3.0
Boyaca Chico
America de Cali corner stats · Boyaca Chico corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 38%
Under 62%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 7.6 corners here; America de Cali are forecast for 4.6.
- America de Cali win 3.95 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.97 over their last 66.
- America de Cali games clear the 9.5 corner line 32% of the time.
- Across 39 recent matches, Boyaca Chico games produced 7.64 corners on average — 3.67 taken by Boyaca Chico themselves.
- Boyaca Chico games clear the 9.5 corner line 23% of the time.
- America de Cali matches average 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.
- Games involving Boyaca Chico produce 2.26 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 23%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 5.9 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 56% probability.
America de Cali — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | A | D Real Cartagena | 1–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-27 | A | W Internacional de Bogota | 2–0 | 1–8 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Real Cartagena | 2–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | W Unam Pumas | 1–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-10 | A | W Santos Laguna | 1–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-29 | H | D Macara | 0–0 | 3–9 |
| 2026-05-20 | H | D Tigre | 1–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | L Independiente Santa Fe | 0–4 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D Independiente Santa Fe | 1–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-07 | A | W Alianza Atletico | 2–0 | 4–5 |
Boyaca Chico — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | H | L Llaneros | 0–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Millonarios | 2–2 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Atletico Cali FC | 4–0 | 9–0 |
| 2026-05-07 | A | D Patriotas FC | 0–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Llaneros | 3–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | L Internacional de Bogota | 0–4 | 8–2 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | L Independiente Medellin | 0–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Deportivo Cali | 1–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-13 | A | L Atletico Bucaramanga | 0–5 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | W Deportivo Pereira | 1–0 | 8–0 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win America de Cali vs Boyaca Chico?
- Our model gives America de Cali a 68% chance, the draw 23% and Boyaca Chico 10%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in America de Cali vs Boyaca Chico?
- The corner model projects 7.6 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 38% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.