Uzbekistan PFL
Andijon FK vs Pakhtakor Tashkent Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.16 – 1.48
Avg goals2.65
Our pickAway
Andijon FK 29%
Draw 28%
Pakhtakor Tashkent 43%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 43% | 2.31 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Away | 50% | 1.99 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.44 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.10 · Draw 3.20 · Away 2.05 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.8
Andijon FK
8.6
Expected corners
4.8
Pakhtakor Tashkent
Andijon FK corner stats · Pakhtakor Tashkent corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 39%
Under 61%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.6 corners in this match, with Andijon FK winning 3.8 of them.
- Andijon FK matches average 9.38 total corners (4.75 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Andijon FK matches.
- Pakhtakor Tashkent win 5.91 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.15 over their last 33.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 36% of Pakhtakor Tashkent matches.
- Games involving Andijon FK produce 2.34 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 38%.
- Pakhtakor Tashkent matches average 2.55 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
- Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 9.3 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (51%).
Andijon FK — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | W FK Buxoro | 2–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | D Lokomotiv Tashkent | 3–3 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Termez Surkhon | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-21 | H | D Nasaf Qarshi | 1–1 | 8–6 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | W Shortan Guzor | 3–1 | 8–6 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | W Xorazm FK Urganch | 3–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-28 | H | W Dinamo Samarqand | 2–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-24 | A | W Bunyodkor Tashkent | 3–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | D FK Kokand 1912 | 0–0 | 1–6 |
| 2026-04-07 | H | L Navbahor Namangan | 0–1 | 4–5 |
Pakhtakor Tashkent — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Bunyodkor Tashkent | 1–0 | 8–6 |
| 2026-07-21 | H | W Xorazm FK Urganch | 2–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | D Lokomotiv Tashkent | 1–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-27 | H | W Kattaqorgon | 3–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L Termez Surkhon | 0–2 | 12–5 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | W FC Yaypan Fergana | 4–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D Termez Surkhon | 1–1 | 11–0 |
| 2026-04-28 | H | D Nasaf Qarshi | 2–2 | 8–4 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | W FK Buxoro | 1–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Dinamo Samarqand | 4–2 | 6–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Andijon FK vs Pakhtakor Tashkent?
- Our model gives Andijon FK a 29% chance, the draw 28% and Pakhtakor Tashkent 43%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Andijon FK vs Pakhtakor Tashkent?
- The corner model projects 8.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 39% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.