Sweden 1.div Södra
Ängelholms FF vs Ariana FC Malmo Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 2–2 (HT 0–0)
Corners0–7
Yellow cards2–2
Shots on target2–8
Shots off target3–8
Attacks71–84
Dangerous attacks40–45
Possession43%–57%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.43 – 1.66
Avg goals3.09
Our pickAway
Ängelholms FF 32%
Draw 26%
Ariana FC Malmo 42%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 42% | 2.37 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.19 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 52% | 1.92 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 63% | 1.60 | 1.53 |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home | 52% | 1.94 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 54% | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.42 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.75 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.10 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.4
Ängelholms FF
9.8
Expected corners
4.4
Ariana FC Malmo
Ängelholms FF corner stats · Ariana FC Malmo corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 54%
Under 46%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.8 corners here; Ängelholms FF are forecast for 5.4.
- Ängelholms FF matches average 9.00 total corners (4.65 won per game) across their last 31 with corner data.
- Ängelholms FF games clear the 9.5 corner line 48% of the time.
- Ariana FC Malmo win 5.69 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.44 over their last 16.
- Ariana FC Malmo games clear the 9.5 corner line 63% of the time.
- Ängelholms FF matches average 2.87 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
- Games involving Ariana FC Malmo produce 3.50 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 52% probability.
Ängelholms FF — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | D Ariana FC Malmo | 2–2 | 0–7 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | D FC Trollhättan | 1–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-06-24 | A | W BK Astrio | 3–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | L Tvååkers IF | 2–3 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Utsiktens BK | 4–2 | 8–9 |
| 2026-06-09 | H | D BK Olympic | 1–1 | 3–0 |
| 2026-06-03 | A | W FC Rosengård 1917 | 2–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Jonkopings Sodra | 0–3 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-19 | H | L Kristianstad FC | 0–1 | 2–0 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | D Atvidabergs FF | 2–2 | 9–6 |
Ariana FC Malmo — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | D Ängelholms FF | 2–2 | 7–0 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Jonkopings Sodra | 1–0 | 3–10 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | L BK Olympic | 1–2 | 13–6 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | W Lunds BK | 4–1 | 5–10 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | W Eskilsminne IF | 2–1 | 3–9 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Laholms FK | 4–2 | 9–1 |
| 2026-05-27 | A | L BK Olympic | 3–5 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Skövde AIK | 4–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-19 | H | L Tvååkers IF | 0–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | W FC Trollhättan | 2–0 | 5–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Ängelholms FF vs Ariana FC Malmo?
- Our model gives Ängelholms FF a 32% chance, the draw 26% and Ariana FC Malmo 42%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Ängelholms FF vs Ariana FC Malmo?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 54% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.