Australia New South Wales NPL Women
Apia L Tigers (W) vs Bulls FC Academy (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.69 – 1.82
Avg goals3.51
Our pickAway
Apia L Tigers (W) 35%
Draw 24%
Bulls FC Academy (W) 41%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 41% | 2.47 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 3 | Over +5% Value | 59% | 1.68 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Away | 53% | 1.87 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 59% | 1.71 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 10% | 9.89 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.35 · Draw 3.75 · Away 2.35 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.1
Apia L Tigers (W)
8.8
Expected corners
3.7
Bulls FC Academy (W)
Apia L Tigers (W) corner stats · Bulls FC Academy (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 41%
Under 59%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.8 corners in this match, with Apia L Tigers (W) winning 5.1 of them.
- Apia L Tigers (W) win 5.48 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.22 over their last 27.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 26% of Apia L Tigers (W) matches.
- Across 27 recent matches, Bulls FC Academy (W) games produced 9.52 corners on average — 5.48 taken by Bulls FC Academy (W) themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 59% of Bulls FC Academy (W) matches.
- Games involving Apia L Tigers (W) produce 3.48 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 67%.
- Bulls FC Academy (W) matches average 3.74 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.
- Across their previous 9 meetings, these sides averaged 3.6 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 9 meetings with corner data averaged 7 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.00 (59%).
Apia L Tigers (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | D University NSW (W) | 1–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 1–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Western City Rangers (W) | 5–1 | 5–8 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W NWS Spirit (W) | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | W Manly Utd (W) | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W Hills United FC (W) | 4–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | W Sydney University (W) | 3–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | L Northern Tigers FC (W) | 1–4 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-21 | H | L University NSW (W) | 0–1 | 3–2 |
Bulls FC Academy (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Gladesville Ravens (W) | 1–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | W Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 5–3 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 4–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 1–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W University NSW (W) | 1–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | D NWS Spirit (W) | 4–4 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W Macarthur Rams (W) | 5–0 | 5–8 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | W Hills United FC (W) | 2–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | W Western City Rangers (W) | 4–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Northern Tigers FC (W) | 2–0 | 3–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Apia L Tigers (W) vs Bulls FC Academy (W)?
- Our model gives Apia L Tigers (W) a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Bulls FC Academy (W) 41%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Apia L Tigers (W) vs Bulls FC Academy (W)?
- The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 41% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.