MathPredictions
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Venezuela Segunda Division

Aragua vs Bolivar SC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 0-0
Expected goals1.16 – 0.77
Avg goals1.93
Our pickHome
Aragua 44% Draw 33% Bolivar SC 23%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 44% 2.29 2.00
Double chance – Home or draw 77% 1.30 1.20
Goals 2 Under 58% 1.73 1.85
Both teams to score – No 62% 1.61 –
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 52% 1.91 1.75
Corners 9.5 Under 73% 1.37 –
Correct score – 0-0 16% 6.30 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.00  ·  Draw 3.00  ·  Away 3.60
Goals 2 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.75  ·  Away 2.05

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.3 Aragua
7.7 Expected corners
3.4 Bolivar SC

Aragua corner stats · Bolivar SC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 27% Under 73%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 7.7 corners in this match, with Aragua winning 4.3 of them.
  • Across 24 recent matches, Aragua games produced 7.83 corners on average — 4.17 taken by Aragua themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 13% of Aragua matches.
  • Bolivar SC matches average 7.33 total corners (3.67 won per game) across their last 24 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 17% of Bolivar SC matches.
  • Games involving Aragua produce 1.50 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 42%.
  • Bolivar SC matches average 1.92 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.
  • Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 1.2 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 8.5 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.00 (58%).

Aragua — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 A L Deportivo Miranda FC 1–2 6–2
2026-06-25 A D Caracas 1–1 4–4
2026-06-07 H L Monagas II 1–2 4–3
2026-06-01 A W Dynamo Puerto FC 2–1 3–5
2026-05-24 H W Mineros de Guayana 2–0 4–5
2026-05-17 A D CS Maritimo de La Guaira 0–0 0–2
2026-05-10 H D Atletico Avila 1–1 6–1
2026-05-04 A D Bolivar SC 0–0 4–3
2026-04-26 H W Deportivo Miranda FC 1–0 6–4
2026-04-13 A L Monagas II 0–1 3–1

Bolivar SC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H L Mineros de Guayana 1–2 5–5
2026-06-25 A D Mineros de Guayana 1–1 3–4
2026-06-07 H W Deportivo Miranda FC 2–0 4–5
2026-06-01 A D Atletico Avila 0–0 2–3
2026-05-24 A L CS Maritimo de La Guaira 1–2 4–4
2026-05-18 H W Monagas II 2–1 2–4
2026-05-11 A L Dynamo Puerto FC 0–1 2–4
2026-05-04 H D Aragua 0–0 3–4
2026-04-26 A W Mineros de Guayana 3–2 4–7
2026-04-13 A L Deportivo Miranda FC 0–1 2–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Aragua vs Bolivar SC?
Our model gives Aragua a 44% chance, the draw 33% and Bolivar SC 23%. The most likely score is 0-0.
How many corners are expected in Aragua vs Bolivar SC?
The corner model projects 7.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 27% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.