Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Argentino Merlo vs Deportivo Laferrere Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.27 – 0.99
Avg goals2.27
Our pickHome
Argentino Merlo 41%
Draw 31%
Deportivo Laferrere 28%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 41% | 2.41 | 2.40 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 72% | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Goals | 2 | Over | 55% | 1.82 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 53% | 1.87 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home | 60% | 1.67 | 1.73 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 6.94 | 6.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.40 · Draw 2.88 · Away 2.80 |
| Goals 2 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.73 · Away 2.08 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.8
Argentino Merlo
8.0
Expected corners
4.2
Deportivo Laferrere
Argentino Merlo corner stats · Deportivo Laferrere corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 31%
Under 70%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8 corners here; Argentino Merlo are forecast for 3.8.
- Argentino Merlo matches average 8.36 total corners (3.47 won per game) across their last 45 with corner data.
- Argentino Merlo games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
- Deportivo Laferrere win 4.59 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.54 over their last 41.
- Deportivo Laferrere games clear the 9.5 corner line 34% of the time.
- Argentino Merlo matches average 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 36% of them.
- Games involving Deportivo Laferrere produce 2.24 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.2 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.00 goals at 55% probability.
Argentino Merlo — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L CA Brown de Adrogue | 0–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | D Deportivo Armenio | 2–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | L CSD Flandria | 0–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Argentino Quilmes | 3–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | D Defensores Unidos | 1–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | W Club Comunicaciones | 3–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-06-22 | H | W CS Dock Sud | 3–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-15 | A | D Deportivo Merlo | 2–2 | 1–3 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | D Deportivo Camioneros | 0–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | W Sportivo Italiano | 2–0 | 1–4 |
Deportivo Laferrere — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | L Talleres Remedios | 0–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W CA Ituzaingo | 2–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | W CA Brown de Adrogue | 1–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Deportivo Armenio | 1–1 | 4–8 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W CSD Flandria | 2–1 | 9–12 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | D Argentino Quilmes | 1–1 | 5–0 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W Defensores Unidos | 1–0 | 10–5 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | D Club Comunicaciones | 3–3 | 1–9 |
| 2026-06-08 | H | W CS Dock Sud | 2–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-06-03 | A | L Deportivo Merlo | 1–2 | 2–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Argentino Merlo vs Deportivo Laferrere?
- Our model gives Argentino Merlo a 41% chance, the draw 31% and Deportivo Laferrere 28%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Argentino Merlo vs Deportivo Laferrere?
- The corner model projects 8.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 31% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.