Poland I Liga
Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza Niepolomice Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-113%1-010%2-19%
Expected goals1.46 – 1.21
Avg goals2.66
Our pickHome
Arka Gdynia 42%
Draw 27%
Puszcza Niepolomice 31%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 42% | 2.36 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 50% | 1.99 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.84 | 1.80 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away +18% Value | 65% | 1.55 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.85 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.70 · Draw 3.50 · Away 4.33 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.7
Arka Gdynia
9.1
Expected corners
4.4
Puszcza Niepolomice
Arka Gdynia corner stats · Puszcza Niepolomice corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 45%
Under 55%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.1 corners in this match, with Arka Gdynia winning 4.7 of them.
- Arka Gdynia win 3.68 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.81 over their last 37.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of Arka Gdynia matches.
- Across 43 recent matches, Puszcza Niepolomice games produced 9.42 corners on average — 4.05 taken by Puszcza Niepolomice themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 42% of Puszcza Niepolomice matches.
- Games involving Arka Gdynia produce 2.78 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
- Puszcza Niepolomice matches average 2.72 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (50%).
Arka Gdynia — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | A | L Unia Skierniewice | 0–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-08-01 | H | W Stal Rzeszow | 4–0 | 4–10 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Odra Opole | 1–0 | 0–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W KTS-K Luzino | 2–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Olimpia Grudziadz | 2–4 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | W Petrolul Ploiesti | 2–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L GKS Katowice | 0–2 | 0–6 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Rakow Czestochowa | 0–3 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-19 | H | L Termalica BB Nieciecza | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | D Gornik Zabrze | 0–0 | 1–9 |
Puszcza Niepolomice — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | H | W Odra Opole | 3–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-08-03 | A | L Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 0–1 | 1–1 |
| 2026-07-27 | H | L Polonia Warsaw | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | W JKS Jaroslaw | 2–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Stal Mielec | 4–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-01 | A | L Wisla Krakow | 0–4 | 1–6 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Star Starachowice | 3–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Miedz Legnica | 1–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-19 | H | W LKS Lodz | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D Stal Mielec | 1–1 | 5–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza Niepolomice?
- Our model gives Arka Gdynia a 42% chance, the draw 27% and Puszcza Niepolomice 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza Niepolomice?
- The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 45% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.