Poland I Liga
Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.93 – 1.30
Avg goals3.22
Our pickHome
Arka Gdynia 51%
Draw 24%
Stal Rzeszow 25%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 51% | 1.96 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.16 |
| Goals | 3 | Over | 52% | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 63% | 1.59 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away | 55% | 1.83 | 1.93 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.13 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.67 · Draw 3.90 · Away 3.80 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.3
Arka Gdynia
11.2
Expected corners
6.0
Stal Rzeszow
Arka Gdynia corner stats · Stal Rzeszow corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 68%
Under 32%
Match trends
- Our model projects 11.2 corners in this match, with Arka Gdynia winning 5.3 of them.
- Arka Gdynia matches average 8.97 total corners (3.74 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of Arka Gdynia matches.
- Stal Rzeszow win 6.24 corners per game, with match totals averaging 12.12 over their last 41.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 73% of Stal Rzeszow matches.
- Games involving Arka Gdynia produce 2.76 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
- Stal Rzeszow matches average 3.44 goals, with both teams scoring in 73% of them.
- Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 3.7 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 12 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.00 (52%).
Arka Gdynia — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Odra Opole | 1–0 | 0–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W KTS-K Luzino | 2–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Olimpia Grudziadz | 2–4 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | W Petrolul Ploiesti | 2–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L GKS Katowice | 0–2 | 0–6 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Rakow Czestochowa | 0–3 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-19 | H | L Termalica BB Nieciecza | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | D Gornik Zabrze | 0–0 | 1–9 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Lech Poznan | 1–1 | 5–15 |
| 2026-04-28 | A | L Piast Gliwice | 1–4 | 5–6 |
Stal Rzeszow — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Chrobry Glogow | 1–5 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | D FC Rukh Lviv | 2–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-07-14 | A | D Korona Kielce | 0–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Gornik Leczna | 4–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D GKS Tychy | 3–3 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Wieczysta Krakow | 1–5 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Pogon Siedlce | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | L Wisla Krakow | 1–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L LKS Lodz | 1–2 | 8–9 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Polonia Warsaw | 0–2 | 9–8 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow?
- Our model gives Arka Gdynia a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Stal Rzeszow 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow?
- The corner model projects 11.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 68% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.