MathPredictions

Europe Friendlies

Arosa vs Pontevedra Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.22 – 1.38
Avg goals2.60
Our pickAway
Arosa 32% Draw 29% Pontevedra 39%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 39% 2.56 1.70
Double chance Home or away 71% 1.41 1.20
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 1.80
Both teams to score Yes 54% 1.85
Correct score 1-1 14% 7.27 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 4.10  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 1.70
Goals 2.25 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

Arosa — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-26 H W CD Boiro 1–0 3–2
2026-04-19 A W CD Barco 1–0 5–3
2026-04-12 H L Compostela 0–2 5–1
2026-04-06 A D CD Estradense 1–1 3–6
2026-04-02 H D Racing Club Villalbes 1–1 6–1
2026-03-22 A W Montaneros 1–0 4–5
2026-03-19 H W Viveiro CF 4–1 2–7
2026-03-15 H D Atletico Arteixo 2–2 9–0
2026-03-09 A W CF Noia 1–0 6–5
2026-02-14 H D Alondras 2–2 4–5

Pontevedra — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-24 H D Real Aviles CF 2–2 6–1
2026-05-17 A L Tenerife 0–3 5–3
2026-05-10 H W Athletic Bilbao B 4–0 7–2
2026-05-02 A D Racing Ferrol 0–0 2–3
2026-04-25 H D Celta Fortuna 1–1 4–4
2026-04-20 A W CD Guadalajara S.A.D. 4–1 7–3
2026-04-12 H W Ponferradina 3–1 5–3
2026-04-09 A L Arenas Club de Getxo 0–1 0–3
2026-04-04 H W Barakaldo 2–0 4–7
2026-03-28 A L Zamora CF 1–2 4–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Arosa vs Pontevedra?
Our model gives Arosa a 32% chance, the draw 29% and Pontevedra 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.