Europe Friendlies
Arosa vs Pontevedra Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.22 – 1.38
Avg goals2.60
Our pickAway
Arosa 32%
Draw 29%
Pontevedra 39%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 39% | 2.56 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.27 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 4.10 · Draw 3.50 · Away 1.70 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 27 recent matches, Arosa games produced 9.15 corners on average — 5.59 taken by Arosa themselves.
- Arosa games clear the 9.5 corner line 37% of the time.
- Pontevedra matches average 8.64 total corners (4.40 won per game) across their last 45 with corner data.
- Pontevedra games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- Arosa matches average 2.78 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.
- Games involving Pontevedra produce 2.16 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
- The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.7 across their last 3 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.
Arosa — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | H | W CD Boiro | 1–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | W CD Barco | 1–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | L Compostela | 0–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D CD Estradense | 1–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-02 | H | D Racing Club Villalbes | 1–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | W Montaneros | 1–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-03-19 | H | W Viveiro CF | 4–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | D Atletico Arteixo | 2–2 | 9–0 |
| 2026-03-09 | A | W CF Noia | 1–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-02-14 | H | D Alondras | 2–2 | 4–5 |
Pontevedra — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | H | D Real Aviles CF | 2–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Tenerife | 0–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W Athletic Bilbao B | 4–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | D Racing Ferrol | 0–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | D Celta Fortuna | 1–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | W CD Guadalajara S.A.D. | 4–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | W Ponferradina | 3–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-09 | A | L Arenas Club de Getxo | 0–1 | 0–3 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | W Barakaldo | 2–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | L Zamora CF | 1–2 | 4–8 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Arosa vs Pontevedra?
- Our model gives Arosa a 32% chance, the draw 29% and Pontevedra 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.