MathPredictions
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Republic of Ireland First Division

Athlone Town vs UCD Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.18 – 1.38
Avg goals2.56
Our pickAway
Athlone Town 31% Draw 29% UCD 40%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 40% 2.49 2.25
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.41 1.24
Goals 2.75 Under +7% Value 59% 1.69 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 53% 1.88 1.57
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 53% 1.89 1.90
Corners 9 Over 52% 1.93 1.93
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.23 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.75  ·  Draw 3.30  ·  Away 2.25
Goals 2.75 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90
Corners 9 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.1 Athlone Town
9.1 Expected corners
4.0 UCD

Athlone Town corner stats · UCD corner stats

Corner line 9.00
Over 52% Under 48%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.1 corners in this match, with Athlone Town winning 5.1 of them.
  • Athlone Town matches average 8.97 total corners (4.85 won per game) across their last 39 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Athlone Town matches.
  • UCD win 4.78 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.59 over their last 41.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of UCD matches.
  • Games involving Athlone Town produce 2.69 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
  • UCD matches average 3.07 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.6 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.5 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (59%).

Athlone Town — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Treaty United FC 1–2 3–4
2026-07-18 H W Midleton FC 3–0 6–0
2026-07-11 H W Cobh Wanderers 2–0 8–3
2026-07-04 A L Bray Wanderers 0–1 8–4
2026-06-27 H D Finn Harps 1–1 6–3
2026-06-20 H D Wexford FC 2–2 8–3
2026-06-13 A L Kerry FC 0–1 8–4
2026-05-30 A L UCD 0–1 5–3
2026-05-23 H L Cork City 0–3 7–4
2026-05-16 A L Cobh Ramblers 0–1 4–3

UCD — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Cork City 5–2 6–7
2026-07-18 A W Treaty United FC 2–1 6–0
2026-07-11 A L Bray Wanderers 0–6 4–2
2026-07-05 A L Longford Town 1–2 3–1
2026-06-27 H W Cobh Ramblers 2–0 5–2
2026-06-20 H L Kerry FC 0–1 4–5
2026-06-13 A W Finn Harps 5–0 4–5
2026-05-30 H W Athlone Town 1–0 3–5
2026-05-23 A L Wexford FC 1–2 6–4
2026-05-16 H L Bray Wanderers 3–4 8–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Athlone Town vs UCD?
Our model gives Athlone Town a 31% chance, the draw 29% and UCD 40%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Athlone Town vs UCD?
The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 52% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.