MathPredictions
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USA MLS Next Pro League

Atlanta United II vs Carolina Core FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals2.18 – 1.16
Avg goals3.35
Our pickHome
Atlanta United II 60% Draw 22% Carolina Core FC 18%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 60% 1.67 1.42
Double chance – Home or draw 82% 1.23 1.08
Goals 3.25 Under 52% 1.93 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 62% 1.62 –
Asian handicap -1.25 Away +8% Value 57% 1.74 1.90
Corners 9.5 Over 53% 1.90 1.98
Correct score – 1-1 10% 10.16 10.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.42  ·  Draw 4.50  ·  Away 5.25
Goals 3.25 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap -1.25 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90
Corners 9.5 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.9 Atlanta United II
9.7 Expected corners
3.8 Carolina Core FC

Atlanta United II corner stats · Carolina Core FC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 53% Under 47%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.7 corners in this match, with Atlanta United II winning 5.9 of them.
  • Across 29 recent matches, Atlanta United II games produced 8.93 corners on average — 5.03 taken by Atlanta United II themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Atlanta United II matches.
  • Carolina Core FC matches average 10.13 total corners (5.03 won per game) across their last 31 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 55% of Carolina Core FC matches.
  • Games involving Atlanta United II produce 3.62 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
  • Carolina Core FC matches average 3.32 goals, with both teams scoring in 65% of them.
  • Across their previous 8 meetings, these sides averaged 3.8 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 8 meetings with corner data averaged 10.8 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (52%).

Atlanta United II — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W New York City FC II 3–2 2–4
2026-07-19 A L Huntsville City 0–2 8–3
2026-07-12 H W Inter Miami CF II 4–1 11–4
2026-07-05 H W Toronto FC II 1–0 10–2
2026-06-28 H D Crown Legacy 3–3 8–3
2026-06-22 A L Columbus Crew II 2–3 5–2
2026-06-14 H D Chattanooga FC 4–4 8–2
2026-06-07 H W Chicago Fire II 3–0 5–5
2026-05-24 A L Philadelphia Union II 1–2 10–4
2026-05-17 A W Huntsville City 6–2 3–2

Carolina Core FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L Chicago Fire II 1–5 3–3
2026-07-23 H W Inter Miami CF II 4–0 5–9
2026-07-13 H D Chattanooga FC 1–1 3–7
2026-06-29 H W Huntsville City 1–0 13–1
2026-06-21 A D Inter Miami CF II 0–0 4–5
2026-06-18 A L New York City FC II 2–3 4–7
2026-06-14 H W Crown Legacy 2–0 5–4
2026-06-08 A L Orlando City SC II 2–3 2–6
2026-05-31 H D New York Red Bulls II 1–1 3–4
2026-05-25 A L Chattanooga FC 0–1 3–9

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Atlanta United II vs Carolina Core FC?
Our model gives Atlanta United II a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Carolina Core FC 18%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Atlanta United II vs Carolina Core FC?
The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 53% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.