Mexico Liga MX
Atlas vs Monterrey Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.48 – 1.27
Avg goals2.75
Our pickHome
Atlas 41%
Draw 28%
Monterrey 31%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +18% Value | 41% | 2.44 | 2.70 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.35 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 52% | 1.93 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.76 | 1.70 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home +10% Value | 57% | 1.76 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 57% | 1.75 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.57 | 6.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.70 · Draw 3.25 · Away 2.70 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
8.9
Expected corners
Atlas corner stats · Monterrey corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 43%
Under 57%
Match trends
- Atlas win 3.15 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.58 over their last 40.
- Atlas games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
- Across 44 recent matches, Monterrey games produced 9.09 corners on average — 4.45 taken by Monterrey themselves.
- Monterrey games clear the 9.5 corner line 41% of the time.
- Atlas matches average 2.45 goals, with both teams scoring in 45% of them.
- Games involving Monterrey produce 3.09 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.8 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 52% probability.
Atlas — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Santos Laguna | 1–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Leon | 3–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Cruz Azul | 0–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Cruz Azul | 2–3 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W Club America | 1–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | D Tigres UANL | 0–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | W Santos Laguna | 1–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | D Monterrey | 0–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | L Leon | 0–2 | 3–10 |
| 2026-03-30 | A | L Chivas Guadalajara | 0–1 | 0–7 |
Monterrey — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | L Necaxa | 1–2 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Santos Laguna | 3–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | L Santos Laguna | 0–3 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-22 | H | W Puebla | 2–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | L Pachuca | 1–3 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | D Atlas | 0–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | L Atletico San Luis | 1–2 | 4–9 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | L Chivas Guadalajara | 2–3 | 9–4 |
| 2026-03-18 | A | D Cruz Azul | 1–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | D Juarez FC | 2–2 | 1–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Atlas vs Monterrey?
- Our model gives Atlas a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Monterrey 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Atlas vs Monterrey?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 43% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.