MathPredictions

Mexico Liga MX

Atlas vs Monterrey Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.48 – 1.27
Avg goals2.75
Our pickHome
Atlas 41% Draw 28% Monterrey 31%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home +18% Value 41% 2.44 2.70
Double chance Home or away 72% 1.38 1.35
Goals 2.5 Over 52% 1.93 1.95
Both teams to score Yes 57% 1.76 1.70
Asian handicap 0 Home +10% Value 57% 1.76 1.90
Corners 9.5 Under 57% 1.75 1.80
Correct score 1-1 13% 7.57 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.70  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 2.70
Goals 2.5 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90
Corners 9.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

8.9 Expected corners
Corner line 9.50
Over 43% Under 57%

Match trends

Atlas — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A W Santos Laguna 1–0 5–4
2026-07-18 A W Leon 3–2 2–6
2026-05-10 A L Cruz Azul 0–1 6–6
2026-05-03 H L Cruz Azul 2–3 2–5
2026-04-26 A W Club America 1–0 2–5
2026-04-23 H D Tigres UANL 0–0 5–4
2026-04-20 A W Santos Laguna 1–0 4–5
2026-04-12 H D Monterrey 0–0 6–4
2026-04-05 A L Leon 0–2 3–10
2026-03-30 A L Chivas Guadalajara 0–1 0–7

Monterrey — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 A L Necaxa 1–2 1–4
2026-07-19 H W Santos Laguna 3–2 5–5
2026-04-27 A L Santos Laguna 0–3 6–3
2026-04-22 H W Puebla 2–1 3–4
2026-04-19 H L Pachuca 1–3 7–4
2026-04-12 A D Atlas 0–0 4–6
2026-04-05 H L Atletico San Luis 1–2 4–9
2026-03-22 H L Chivas Guadalajara 2–3 9–4
2026-03-18 A D Cruz Azul 1–1 3–6
2026-03-14 A D Juarez FC 2–2 1–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Atlas vs Monterrey?
Our model gives Atlas a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Monterrey 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Atlas vs Monterrey?
The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 43% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.