MathPredictions
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Peru Liga 1

Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-0
Expected goals1.23 – 0.81
Avg goals2.04
Our pickHome
Atletico Grau 45% Draw 32% Sport Boys 23%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 45% 2.23 2.10
Double chance – Home or draw 77% 1.30 1.25
Goals 2 Under 53% 1.87 2.00
Both teams to score – No 59% 1.68 1.67
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 53% 1.87 1.80
Corners 9.5 Under 69% 1.44 –
Correct score – 1-0 +25% Value 15% 6.79 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.10  ·  Draw 3.10  ·  Away 3.60
Goals 2 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.4 Atletico Grau
7.9 Expected corners
3.5 Sport Boys

Atletico Grau corner stats · Sport Boys corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 31% Under 69%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 7.9 corners in this match, with Atletico Grau winning 4.4 of them.
  • Atletico Grau win 4.03 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.73 over their last 37.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 22% of Atletico Grau matches.
  • Across 37 recent matches, Sport Boys games produced 8.76 corners on average — 4.30 taken by Sport Boys themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Sport Boys matches.
  • Games involving Atletico Grau produce 2.19 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 49%.
  • Sport Boys matches average 2.27 goals, with both teams scoring in 41% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.5 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.2 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.00 (53%).

Atletico Grau — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L Sport Huancayo 0–2 2–10
2026-07-19 H W UTC Cajamarca 3–1 2–4
2026-07-10 H D Carlos Mannucci 1–1 3–4
2026-06-27 A D Universitario de Deportes 1–1 4–8
2026-06-23 H W Pirata FC 3–2 5–2
2026-05-30 H W Deportivo Moquegua 1–0 4–4
2026-05-24 A L Cusco FC 0–1 2–4
2026-05-16 A W Universitario de Deportes 1–0 0–8
2026-05-10 H L Cienciano 1–2 3–5
2026-05-03 A L AD Tarma 0–1 6–1

Sport Boys — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W AD Tarma 2–0 6–2
2026-07-20 A L CD Los Chankas 0–1 5–5
2026-07-11 H W Comerciantes FC 1–0 7–5
2026-06-28 H W Academia Deportiva Cantolao 3–0 5–2
2026-06-14 A D CD Universidad San Martin 2–2 3–3
2026-05-31 H W Comerciantes Unidos 1–0 8–3
2026-05-24 A D UTC Cajamarca 0–0 4–4
2026-05-17 H W Cusco FC 1–0 7–3
2026-05-12 H D Universitario de Deportes 0–0 3–2
2026-05-03 A L FC Cajamarca 2–3 4–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
Our model gives Atletico Grau a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Sport Boys 23%. The most likely score is 1-0.
How many corners are expected in Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
The corner model projects 7.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 31% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.