Copa do Brasil
Atletico Mineiro vs Juventude Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.39 – 0.81
Avg goals2.20
Our pickHome
Atletico Mineiro 49%
Draw 30%
Juventude 20%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 49% | 2.02 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 80% | 1.26 | 1.09 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under +8% Value | 56% | 1.78 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 57% | 1.75 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away +27% Value | 67% | 1.49 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 10.5 | Under +18% Value | 60% | 1.65 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +113% Value | 14% | 7.03 | 15.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.48 · Draw 4.10 · Away 7.00 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 10.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.7
Atletico Mineiro
9.5
Expected corners
3.7
Juventude
Atletico Mineiro corner stats · Juventude corner stats
Corner line 10.50
Over 40%
Under 60%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.5 corners here; Atletico Mineiro are forecast for 5.7.
- Across 73 recent matches, Atletico Mineiro games produced 9.37 corners on average — 5.04 taken by Atletico Mineiro themselves.
- Atletico Mineiro games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
- Juventude matches average 8.97 total corners (4.83 won per game) across their last 65 with corner data.
- Juventude games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
- Atletico Mineiro matches average 2.37 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
- Games involving Juventude produce 2.26 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.3 across their last 4 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 56% probability.
Atletico Mineiro — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | W Palmeiras | 2–1 | 5–10 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | D Bahia | 1–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | W Vasco da Gama | 1–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-28 | H | W Academia Puerto Cabello | 1–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | L Corinthians | 0–1 | 0–3 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | W Cienciano | 2–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Mirassol | 3–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | L Ceara | 1–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | D Botafogo | 1–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-06 | A | D Juventud De Las Piedras | 2–2 | 5–8 |
Juventude — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | W Avai | 1–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-24 | A | L Botafogo SP | 2–4 | 9–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Cuiaba | 2–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Vila Nova | 1–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | D Nautico | 0–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | W Ceara | 2–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-22 | A | W Sao Bernardo | 1–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | W Ponte Preta | 3–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L Operario PR | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W America MG | 3–0 | 5–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Atletico Mineiro vs Juventude?
- Our model gives Atletico Mineiro a 49% chance, the draw 30% and Juventude 20%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in Atletico Mineiro vs Juventude?
- The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 40% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.