Mexico Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.53 – 1.38
Avg goals2.91
Our pickHome
Atletico San Luis 40%
Draw 27%
Tijuana 33%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 40% | 2.50 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.30 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 50% | 2.00 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 60% | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 54% | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Over | 52% | 1.92 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.90 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.20 · Draw 3.50 · Away 3.20 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
8.7
Expected corners
Atletico San Luis corner stats · Tijuana corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 52%
Under 48%
Match trends
- Atletico San Luis matches average 8.26 total corners (4.14 won per game) across their last 35 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 26% of Atletico San Luis matches.
- Tijuana win 3.68 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.73 over their last 37.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Tijuana matches.
- Games involving Atletico San Luis produce 3.17 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 69%.
- Tijuana matches average 2.81 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.6 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.6 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (50%).
Atletico San Luis — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Tigres UANL | 2–2 | 3–9 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Cruz Azul | 2–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Juarez FC | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | W Santos Laguna | 2–0 | 7–6 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Unam Pumas | 0–2 | 8–1 |
| 2026-04-13 | A | D Toluca | 1–1 | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | W Monterrey | 2–1 | 9–4 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | L Leon | 1–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | D Pachuca | 1–1 | 0–5 |
| 2026-03-08 | A | L Cruz Azul | 0–3 | 1–10 |
Tijuana — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Leon | 1–0 | 3–10 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | W Tigres UANL | 3–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D Chivas Guadalajara | 0–0 | 2–8 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | W Pachuca | 3–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | D Cruz Azul | 1–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W Juarez FC | 2–1 | 9–5 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | W Tigres UANL | 1–0 | 1–7 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | L Necaxa | 0–3 | 1–6 |
| 2026-03-15 | A | W Leon | 3–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-03-09 | H | L Santos Laguna | 1–2 | 4–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana?
- Our model gives Atletico San Luis a 40% chance, the draw 27% and Tijuana 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana?
- The corner model projects 8.7 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.