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Mexico Liga MX Femenil

Atletico San Luis (W) vs Toluca (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.33 – 2.03
Avg goals3.35
Our pickAway
Atletico San Luis (W) 24% Draw 23% Toluca (W) 53%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 53% 1.90 1.48
Double chance – Home or away 77% 1.30 1.16
Goals 3 Over 55% 1.81 1.78
Both teams to score – Yes 65% 1.55 1.62
Asian handicap 1.25 Home +13% Value 65% 1.55 1.78
Corners 9.5 Over 60% 1.66 –
Correct score – 1-1 10% 9.67 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 5.25  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 1.48
Goals 3 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03
Asian handicap 1.25 Home 1.78  ·  Away 2.03

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.6 Atletico San Luis (W)
10.4 Expected corners
5.8 Toluca (W)

Atletico San Luis (W) corner stats · Toluca (W) corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 60% Under 40%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10.4 corners here; Atletico San Luis (W) are forecast for 4.6.
  • Across 31 recent matches, Atletico San Luis (W) games produced 9.68 corners on average — 4.19 taken by Atletico San Luis (W) themselves.
  • Atletico San Luis (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
  • Toluca (W) matches average 10.59 total corners (5.97 won per game) across their last 37 with corner data.
  • Toluca (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 65% of the time.
  • Atletico San Luis (W) matches average 3.13 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
  • Games involving Toluca (W) produce 3.68 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 9.5 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 55% probability.

Atletico San Luis (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-25 A W Leon (W) 2–1 5–6
2026-04-06 A W Mazatlan FC (W) 1–0 3–6
2026-04-02 H W Cruz Azul (W) 3–2 9–5
2026-03-29 A W Santos Laguna (W) 2–1 5–5
2026-03-23 H L Tigres UANL (W) 0–2 8–5
2026-03-16 A D Necaxa (W) 1–1 5–2
2026-03-12 H W Puebla (W) 2–0 4–5
2026-02-22 A L Monterrey (W) 0–6 3–6
2026-02-17 H W Queretaro (W) 4–1 5–2
2026-02-11 H L Pachuca (W) 0–3 3–2

Toluca (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-11 A L Club America (W) 3–4 4–7
2026-05-08 H L Club America (W) 1–7 5–7
2026-05-04 A W Tigres UANL (W) 2–1 7–7
2026-05-01 H W Tigres UANL (W) 2–1 4–6
2026-04-25 A D Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1–1 8–8
2026-04-05 H L Cruz Azul (W) 0–4 6–7
2026-04-01 A D Leon (W) 3–3 9–7
2026-03-28 A W Mazatlan FC (W) 3–2 6–6
2026-03-21 H W Necaxa (W) 5–1 13–1
2026-03-17 A L Club America (W) 0–2 3–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Atletico San Luis (W) vs Toluca (W)?
Our model gives Atletico San Luis (W) a 24% chance, the draw 23% and Toluca (W) 53%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Atletico San Luis (W) vs Toluca (W)?
The corner model projects 10.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 60% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.