Austria Bundesliga
Austria Lustenau vs SV Ried Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.20 – 1.13
Avg goals2.34
Our pickHome
Austria Lustenau 36%
Draw 31%
SV Ried 33%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 36% | 2.75 | 2.63 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 69% | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 51% | 1.95 | 1.95 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home | 52% | 1.91 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9 | Under | 53% | 1.89 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 15% | 6.90 | 6.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.63 · Draw 3.25 · Away 2.63 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 9 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
Austria Lustenau
8.8
Expected corners
4.2
SV Ried
Austria Lustenau corner stats · SV Ried corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 47%
Under 53%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.8 corners here; Austria Lustenau are forecast for 4.6.
- Across 41 recent matches, Austria Lustenau games produced 8.63 corners on average — 4.41 taken by Austria Lustenau themselves.
- Austria Lustenau games clear the 9.5 corner line 34% of the time.
- SV Ried matches average 9.26 total corners (4.81 won per game) across their last 43 with corner data.
- SV Ried games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
- Austria Lustenau matches average 2.46 goals, with both teams scoring in 37% of them.
- Games involving SV Ried produce 2.56 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.1 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.6 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 52% probability.
Austria Lustenau — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Kremser SC | 1–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-16 | A | L Nurnberg II | 0–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | D SW Bregenz | 1–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-10 | H | W Aarau | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | D Young Boys | 0–0 | 3–12 |
| 2026-06-26 | H | W Wil 1900 | 3–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W SKU Amstetten | 2–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D SV Austria Salzburg | 2–2 | 7–7 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W SW Bregenz | 2–0 | 6–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Austria Klagenfurt | 0–3 | 4–2 |
SV Ried — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W FC Dornbirn 1913 | 5–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-06-26 | H | D SV Austria Salzburg | 2–2 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | L Rapid Vienna | 0–3 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Rapid Vienna | 2–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-20 | H | W Wolfsberger AC | 2–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L SCR Altach | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L Wolfsberger AC | 0–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W FC Blau Weiss Linz | 2–0 | 5–9 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L WSG Swarovski Tirol | 0–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-22 | H | W Grazer AK | 2–1 | 5–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Austria Lustenau vs SV Ried?
- Our model gives Austria Lustenau a 36% chance, the draw 31% and SV Ried 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Austria Lustenau vs SV Ried?
- The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 47% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.