Australia NPL Victoria U23
Avondale U23 vs Heidelberg Utd U23 Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.06 – 1.68
Avg goals3.74
Our pickHome
Avondale U23 46%
Draw 23%
Heidelberg Utd U23 31%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 46% | 2.16 | 1.91 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 77% | 1.30 | 1.14 |
| Goals | 3.75 | Under | 54% | 1.86 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 54% | 1.86 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 9% | 11.07 | 11.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.91 · Draw 4.20 · Away 2.80 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.1
Avondale U23
9.4
Expected corners
4.3
Heidelberg Utd U23
Avondale U23 corner stats · Heidelberg Utd U23 corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 49%
Under 51%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.4 corners in this match, with Avondale U23 winning 5.1 of them.
- Avondale U23 matches average 8.76 total corners (5.19 won per game) across their last 21 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of Avondale U23 matches.
- Heidelberg Utd U23 win 5.41 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.95 over their last 22.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 59% of Heidelberg Utd U23 matches.
- Games involving Avondale U23 produce 3.52 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
- Heidelberg Utd U23 matches average 4.05 goals, with both teams scoring in 73% of them.
- Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 4.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 11 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.75 (54%).
Avondale U23 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | H | D St Albans Saints U23 | 0–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-10 | A | L Oakleigh Cannons U23 | 2–4 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Preston Lions U23 | 4–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W Dandenong Thunder U23 | 4–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | W Green Gully U23 | 4–1 | 9–1 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Bentleigh Greens U23 | 5–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D Hume City U23 | 2–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L Altona Magic U23 | 2–4 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Caroline Springs George Cross U23 | 0–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W Heidelberg Utd U23 | 5–2 | 4–6 |
Heidelberg Utd U23 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Caroline Springs George Cross U23 | 0–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Altona Magic U23 | 0–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | L St Albans Saints U23 | 0–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Oakleigh Cannons U23 | 2–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | W Dandenong City U23 | 10–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | W Dandenong Thunder U23 | 3–2 | 9–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Green Gully U23 | 1–3 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Bentleigh Greens U23 | 6–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W South Melbourne U23 | 6–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Hume City U23 | 2–1 | 2–0 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Avondale U23 vs Heidelberg Utd U23?
- Our model gives Avondale U23 a 46% chance, the draw 23% and Heidelberg Utd U23 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Avondale U23 vs Heidelberg Utd U23?
- The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.