Europe Friendlies
AVS vs Trofense Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.98 – 0.98
Avg goals2.96
Our pickHome
AVS 60%
Draw 23%
Trofense 17%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 60% | 1.68 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 83% | 1.21 | 1.12 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away | 52% | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.05 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.62 · Draw 3.60 · Away 4.75 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- AVS matches average 9.61 total corners (3.75 won per game) across their last 36 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of AVS matches.
- Trofense win 4.31 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.09 over their last 35.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Trofense matches.
- Games involving AVS produce 2.69 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
- Trofense matches average 2.06 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (51%).
AVS — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | A | D Moreirense | 0–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | W FC Porto | 3–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Nacional | 2–1 | 6–8 |
| 2026-04-27 | H | D Sporting | 1–1 | 0–9 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D Rio Ave | 2–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | D Guimaraes | 1–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | L Gil Vicente | 0–3 | 1–3 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | D Tondela | 0–0 | 6–7 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | L Santa Clara | 0–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-03-07 | A | D Alverca | 0–0 | 0–8 |
Trofense — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Academica | 0–3 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | D Guimaraes B | 1–1 | 8–6 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | D Amarante | 0–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L CD Mafra | 0–1 | 3–11 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | L Varzim | 0–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W UD Santarem | 1–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | L CF Os Belenenses | 0–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-03-23 | H | L Academica | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-03-15 | A | W Guimaraes B | 2–1 | 2–10 |
| 2026-03-08 | A | L Amarante | 0–1 | 4–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win AVS vs Trofense?
- Our model gives AVS a 60% chance, the draw 23% and Trofense 17%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.