MathPredictions

Europe Friendlies

AVS vs Trofense Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.98 – 0.98
Avg goals2.96
Our pickHome
AVS 60% Draw 23% Trofense 17%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 60% 1.68 1.62
Double chance Home or draw 83% 1.21 1.12
Goals 2.75 Over 51% 1.95 1.98
Both teams to score Yes 55% 1.83
Asian handicap -1 Away 52% 1.91 1.80
Correct score 1-1 11% 9.05 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.62  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 4.75
Goals 2.75 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap -1 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

AVS — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-16 A D Moreirense 0–0 3–5
2026-05-11 H W FC Porto 3–1 3–7
2026-05-02 A W Nacional 2–1 6–8
2026-04-27 H D Sporting 1–1 0–9
2026-04-18 A D Rio Ave 2–2 9–4
2026-04-11 H D Guimaraes 1–1 5–4
2026-04-03 A L Gil Vicente 0–3 1–3
2026-03-22 A D Tondela 0–0 6–7
2026-03-15 H L Santa Clara 0–1 4–6
2026-03-07 A D Alverca 0–0 0–8

Trofense — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-16 A L Academica 0–3 2–4
2026-05-09 H D Guimaraes B 1–1 8–6
2026-05-01 H D Amarante 0–0 3–5
2026-04-26 A L CD Mafra 0–1 3–11
2026-04-19 H L Varzim 0–1 4–4
2026-04-11 A W UD Santarem 1–0 7–3
2026-04-04 H L CF Os Belenenses 0–1 6–3
2026-03-23 H L Academica 1–2 4–4
2026-03-15 A W Guimaraes B 2–1 2–10
2026-03-08 A L Amarante 0–1 4–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win AVS vs Trofense?
Our model gives AVS a 60% chance, the draw 23% and Trofense 17%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.