MathPredictions

Scotland Championship

Ayr vs Arbroath Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.30 – 0.98
Avg goals2.29
Our pickHome
Ayr 43% Draw 31% Arbroath 27%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 43% 2.35 2.40
Double chance Home or draw 73% 1.37 1.33
Goals 2 Over 56% 1.80 1.75
Both teams to score No 53% 1.88 1.73
Asian handicap 0 Home +6% Value 61% 1.63 2.05
Corners 9.5 Under +9% Value 54% 1.86 2.03
Correct score 1-1 14% 6.98 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.40  ·  Draw 3.00  ·  Away 2.70
Goals 2 Over 1.75  ·  Under 2.05
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 2.05  ·  Away 1.75
Corners 9.5 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.8 Ayr
9.2 Expected corners
4.3 Arbroath
Corner line 9.50
Over 46% Under 54%

Match trends

Ayr — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Alloa 4–1 5–5
2026-07-18 H W Edinburgh City 2–0 2–5
2026-07-15 A W Falkirk 1–0 6–5
2026-07-11 A W Stranraer 3–2 2–0
2026-07-04 H W Airdrieonians 2–1 6–3
2026-07-01 H W Dumbarton 3–0 5–6
2026-05-02 H L St Johnstone 0–1 7–9
2026-04-25 A L Airdrieonians 1–2 6–6
2026-04-18 A L Ross County 1–2 5–4
2026-04-11 H W Arbroath 1–0 7–3

Arbroath — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Stirling 1–0 3–2
2026-07-22 H L Montrose 0–2 7–4
2026-07-19 A L Dundee Utd 0–3 6–6
2026-07-11 A W Spartans FC 2–1 8–4
2026-06-27 H L St Mirren 2–4 2–8
2026-05-09 H D Dunfermline 0–0 6–6
2026-05-06 A L Dunfermline 0–1 0–6
2026-05-02 A D Dunfermline 0–0 11–5
2026-04-25 H D Partick 0–0 5–3
2026-04-18 H W Raith 2–1 4–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Ayr vs Arbroath?
Our model gives Ayr a 43% chance, the draw 31% and Arbroath 27%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Ayr vs Arbroath?
The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 46% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.