Poland III Liga
Baltyk Koszalin vs Polonia Sroda Wlkp Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.28 – 1.61
Avg goals2.90
Our pickAway
Baltyk Koszalin 29%
Draw 27%
Polonia Sroda Wlkp 44%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 44% | 2.27 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.36 | 1.17 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 55% | 1.81 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.96 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.75 · Draw 3.90 · Away 1.70 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 8 recent matches, Baltyk Koszalin games produced 13.38 corners on average — 7.38 taken by Baltyk Koszalin themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 75% of Baltyk Koszalin matches.
- Polonia Sroda Wlkp matches average 11.04 total corners (5.73 won per game) across their last 26 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 65% of Polonia Sroda Wlkp matches.
- Games involving Baltyk Koszalin produce 4.13 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 88%.
- Polonia Sroda Wlkp matches average 3.23 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (55%).
Baltyk Koszalin — last 8 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Chemik Police | 3–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Astra Ustronie Morskie | 2–1 | 9–5 |
| 2025-11-15 | H | D Mechanik Bobolice | 4–4 | 8–9 |
| 2025-11-08 | H | W Iskierka Szczecin | 3–2 | 14–5 |
| 2025-11-02 | H | D Biali Sadow | 2–2 | 8–9 |
| 2025-09-20 | H | W Swit Szczecin II | 2–1 | 4–8 |
| 2025-09-14 | A | W Gwardia Koszalin | 1–0 | 4–5 |
| 2025-09-06 | H | W Ina Goleniow | 4–1 | 10–2 |
Polonia Sroda Wlkp — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | A | L Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 0–1 | 1–8 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce | 2–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Kluczevia Stargard | 2–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Tluchowia Tluchowo | 3–1 | 15–1 |
| 2026-05-01 | A | L Wda Swiecie | 2–3 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 0–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | D Lipno Steszew | 1–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-01 | H | W Flota Swinoujscie | 6–2 | 8–7 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | W Cartusia Kartuzy | 2–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-03-14 | H | L KTS-K Luzino | 1–2 | 9–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Baltyk Koszalin vs Polonia Sroda Wlkp?
- Our model gives Baltyk Koszalin a 29% chance, the draw 27% and Polonia Sroda Wlkp 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.