Brazil Paulista Cup
Bandeirante vs Marilia Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
0-0
Expected goals0.88 – 1.09
Avg goals1.97
Our pickAway
Bandeirante 28%
Draw 34%
Marilia 39%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 39% | 2.57 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 2 | Under +9% Value | 56% | 1.78 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home +7% Value | 53% | 1.88 | 2.03 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Correct score | – | 0-0 | 15% | 6.53 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.30 · Draw 3.20 · Away 2.00 |
| Goals 2 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 2.03 · Away 1.78 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.4
Bandeirante
9.7
Expected corners
5.3
Marilia
Bandeirante corner stats · Marilia corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 52%
Under 48%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.7 corners here; Bandeirante are forecast for 4.4.
- Bandeirante matches average 9.75 total corners (3.75 won per game) across their last 16 with corner data.
- Bandeirante games clear the 9.5 corner line 69% of the time.
- Marilia win 4.91 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.91 over their last 22.
- Marilia games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- Bandeirante matches average 1.94 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
- Games involving Marilia produce 2.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 32%.
- The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11.2 across their last 5 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.00 goals at 56% probability.
Bandeirante — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | L Gremio Prudente | 0–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | D Linense | 0–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | W Rio Branco SP | 2–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-03-16 | H | L Catanduva | 1–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-03-12 | H | D EC Sao Bernardo | 2–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-03-08 | A | W Rio Claro | 3–2 | 3–9 |
| 2026-03-05 | A | D Paulista | 0–0 | 3–8 |
| 2026-03-01 | H | L Rio Preto | 1–2 | 7–6 |
| 2026-02-26 | A | D Uniao Suzano | 0–0 | 2–8 |
| 2026-02-22 | H | W Francana | 1–0 | 4–6 |
Marilia — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Linense | 1–3 | 11–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Gremio Prudente | 1–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Portuguesa Santista | 0–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | D Portuguesa Santista | 2–2 | 5–14 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | D XV de Jau | 0–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | W EC Sao Bernardo | 2–0 | 8–5 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | L EC Sao Bernardo | 0–2 | 4–8 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | W Francana | 2–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-03-15 | A | L XV de Jau | 0–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-03-12 | H | W Uniao Suzano | 2–0 | 3–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Bandeirante vs Marilia?
- Our model gives Bandeirante a 28% chance, the draw 34% and Marilia 39%. The most likely score is 0-0.
- How many corners are expected in Bandeirante vs Marilia?
- The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.