Europe Friendlies
Barakaldo vs Mirandes Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.23 – 1.28
Avg goals2.51
Our pickAway
Barakaldo 34%
Draw 29%
Mirandes 36%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 36% | 2.74 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.42 | 1.21 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Over | 53% | 1.89 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home | 57% | 1.75 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.11 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.63 · Draw 3.40 · Away 2.25 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Barakaldo win 5.76 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.02 over their last 42.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 62% of Barakaldo matches.
- Across 46 recent matches, Mirandes games produced 9.07 corners on average — 4.28 taken by Mirandes themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of Mirandes matches.
- Games involving Barakaldo produce 2.36 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 55%.
- Mirandes matches average 2.70 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
- Across their previous 9 meetings, these sides averaged 2.4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 9 meetings with corner data averaged 10.1 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.25 (53%).
Barakaldo — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | H | D Celta Fortuna | 1–1 | 13–2 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Real Aviles CF | 4–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Merida | 2–0 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Tenerife | 0–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Lugo | 3–0 | 11–5 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Ponferradina | 0–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | D CD Arenteiro | 1–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | L Pontevedra | 0–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | W Real Madrid Castilla | 2–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-03-23 | A | D Racing Ferrol | 0–0 | 4–6 |
Mirandes — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | A | L Leganes | 0–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | W Granada | 3–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D Real Sociedad B | 2–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | L Eibar | 0–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-05 | A | L Almeria | 2–4 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Cultural Leonesa | 2–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-21 | A | L Deportivo La Coruna | 1–3 | 5–1 |
| 2026-04-13 | H | D CD Castellon | 2–2 | 8–7 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | W Real Zaragoza | 2–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-01 | H | D Albacete Balompie | 1–1 | 9–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Barakaldo vs Mirandes?
- Our model gives Barakaldo a 34% chance, the draw 29% and Mirandes 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.