UK Friendlies
Barnsley vs Lincoln City Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.26 – 2.13
Avg goals3.38
Our pickAway
Barnsley 21%
Draw 22%
Lincoln City 56%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away +35% Value | 56% | 1.77 | 2.40 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away +12% Value | 79% | 1.27 | 1.42 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over +18% Value | 66% | 1.52 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Away +28% Value | 73% | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 10% | 10.01 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.45 · Draw 3.50 · Away 2.40 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.7
Barnsley
8.7
Expected corners
4.9
Lincoln City
Barnsley corner stats · Lincoln City corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 40%
Under 60%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.7 corners here; Barnsley are forecast for 3.7.
- Barnsley matches average 10.45 total corners (4.72 won per game) across their last 58 with corner data.
- Barnsley games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- Lincoln City win 4.37 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.05 over their last 57.
- Lincoln City games clear the 9.5 corner line 39% of the time.
- Barnsley matches average 3.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
- Games involving Lincoln City produce 2.79 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.9 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 66% probability.
Barnsley — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Scarborough Athletic | 2–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L York | 1–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Stockport | 1–3 | 5–11 |
| 2026-04-29 | A | W Northampton | 1–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Luton | 1–2 | 5–9 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | L Stevenage | 0–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | D Bradford | 2–2 | 5–10 |
| 2026-04-15 | A | D Port Vale | 0–0 | 9–8 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W Rotherham | 3–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | L Plymouth | 0–3 | 4–8 |
Lincoln City — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | L Grimsby | 1–5 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | L Leyton Orient | 0–2 | 1–1 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Boston Utd | 1–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Port Vale | 2–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Wycombe | 4–3 | 2–10 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | W Doncaster | 2–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D Stevenage | 2–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Leyton Orient | 2–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | W Reading | 2–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | W AFC Wimbledon | 1–0 | 2–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Barnsley vs Lincoln City?
- Our model gives Barnsley a 21% chance, the draw 22% and Lincoln City 56%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Barnsley vs Lincoln City?
- The corner model projects 8.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 40% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.