Switzerland Super League
Basel vs FC Lausanne-Sport Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.90 – 1.36
Avg goals3.26
Our pickHome
Basel 49%
Draw 24%
FC Lausanne-Sport 27%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 49% | 2.04 | 1.91 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Goals | 3 | Over | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 64% | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 51% | 1.96 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 10.5 | Over | 52% | 1.92 | 1.88 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.14 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.91 · Draw 3.75 · Away 3.60 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 10.5 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
10.7
Expected corners
Corner line 10.50
Over 52%
Under 48%
Match trends
- Basel matches average 10.35 total corners (5.44 won per game) across their last 55 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 56% of Basel matches.
- FC Lausanne-Sport win 5.40 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.60 over their last 5.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of FC Lausanne-Sport matches.
- Games involving Basel produce 2.96 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 60%.
- FC Lausanne-Sport matches average 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.00 (53%).
Basel — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Servette | 1–0 | 5–11 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | D Juventus | 0–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W FC Rapperswil-Jona | 3–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Lugano | 0–4 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | L St Gallen | 1–3 | 10–8 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Young Boys | 0–3 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W FC Thun | 3–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L FC Sion | 0–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L FC Thun | 1–3 | 8–5 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | D Young Boys | 3–3 | 3–7 |
FC Lausanne-Sport — last 5 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | A | L St Etienne | 0–4 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | D Grasshoppers | 1–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Yverdon Sport FC | 3–0 | 7–8 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Neuchatel Xamax | 1–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-09 | A | L Flamengo | 0–2 | 8–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Basel vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
- Our model gives Basel a 49% chance, the draw 24% and FC Lausanne-Sport 27%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Basel vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
- The corner model projects 10.7 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.