MathPredictions
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USA NWSL Women

Bay FC (W) vs Seattle Reign (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.18 – 1.38
Avg goals2.56
Our pickAway
Bay FC (W) 31% Draw 29% Seattle Reign (W) 40%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 40% 2.49 2.25
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.41 1.23
Goals 2.5 Under 53% 1.90 2.00
Both teams to score – Yes 53% 1.88 1.73
Corners 9.5 Under 54% 1.84 1.93
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.23 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.70  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.25
Goals 2.5 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Corners 9 Over 1.88  ·  Under 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.1 Bay FC (W)
9.2 Expected corners
4.1 Seattle Reign (W)

Bay FC (W) corner stats · Seattle Reign (W) corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 46% Under 54%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.2 corners here; Bay FC (W) are forecast for 5.1.
  • Bay FC (W) win 4.86 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.18 over their last 28.
  • Bay FC (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
  • Across 18 recent matches, Seattle Reign (W) games produced 7.78 corners on average — 3.28 taken by Seattle Reign (W) themselves.
  • Seattle Reign (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
  • Bay FC (W) matches average 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
  • Games involving Seattle Reign (W) produce 2.83 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 56%.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 53% probability.

Bay FC (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H L Gotham FC (W) 0–1 4–6
2026-07-25 A L Houston Dash (W) 0–1 8–4
2026-07-19 H W North Carolina Courage (W) 3–0 2–8
2026-07-11 A W Racing Louisville FC (W) 2–0 0–7
2026-07-06 A D Boston Legacy FC (W) 2–2 6–6
2026-05-30 A L Orlando Pride (W) 1–3 4–1
2026-05-25 H L Chicago Stars (W) 0–1 5–1
2026-05-21 A L Portland Thorns (W) 0–2 8–5
2026-05-16 H D Boston Legacy FC (W) 1–1 9–3
2026-05-11 H D Utah Royals (W) 0–0 4–4

Seattle Reign (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 A W San Diego Wave (W) 2–0 3–7
2026-07-19 A L Gotham FC (W) 2–3 1–4
2026-07-13 H W Portland Thorns (W) 2–0 3–8
2026-07-05 A L North Carolina Courage (W) 1–3 4–4
2026-05-31 A L Washington Spirit (W) 1–2 5–5
2026-05-23 A W Boston Legacy FC (W) 2–1 7–4
2026-05-16 H L Gotham FC (W) 0–2 4–6
2026-05-11 H L Washington Spirit (W) 0–1 5–5
2026-03-29 H W Racing Louisville FC (W) 2–1 1–2
2026-03-26 H W Kansas City Current (W) 3–0 1–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Bay FC (W) vs Seattle Reign (W)?
Our model gives Bay FC (W) a 31% chance, the draw 29% and Seattle Reign (W) 40%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Bay FC (W) vs Seattle Reign (W)?
The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 46% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.